UEFA Champions League 25/26 · 28 Jan 2026

Benfica 4–2 Real Madrid

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Benfica favourites at 51%.

Benfica won and made the better chances: 3.0 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kylian Mbappé, 93.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Kylian Mbappé +21.8, Arda Güler +21.7, Andreas Schjelderup +19.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

25 Jan 2026	W 4–0	v CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal
21 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Juventus Champions League
17 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Rio Ave Liga Portugal
3 Jan 2026	W 3–1	v Estoril Praia Liga Portugal
28 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at Sporting Braga Liga Portugal

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Andreas Schjelderup Midfielder	89	2	0	0.86	71.7	+19.8
Vangelis Pavlidis Forward	89	1	2	0.99	65.3	+9.3
Georgiy Sudakov Midfielder	83	0	0	0.08	56.0	−0.9
Gianluca Prestianni Midfielder	87	0	0	0.10	48.4	−0.3
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper	90	1	0	0.07	48.3	−0.3
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder	90	0	1	0.29	48.1	−8.1
Leandro Barreiro Midfielder	90	0	0	0.39	46.8	+1.2
Enzo Barrenechea Midfielder	15	0	0	–	46.4	–
Samuel Dahl Defender	90	0	0	–	45.3	+0.9
Nicolás Otamendi Defender	90	0	0	0.04	41.4	−11.0
Tomás Araújo Defender	90	0	0	–	40.3	−6.7
Amar Dedić Defender	90	0	0	0.18	40.0	−6.8
Franjo Ivanović Forward	1	0	0	–	38.1	–
João Rêgo Forward	11	0	0	–	31.2	–
António Silva Defender	1	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Brahim Díaz Midfielder	11	0	0	0.06	100.0	–
Kylian Mbappé Forward	90	2	0	0.57	93.8	+21.8
Arda Güler Midfielder	79	0	1	0.02	82.8	+21.7
David Alaba Defender	12	0	0	–	79.7	–
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder	35	0	0	–	67.0	–
Federico Valverde Midfielder	90	0	0	–	65.4	+14.0
Dean Huijsen Defender	78	0	0	0.01	65.1	+10.0
Vinícius Júnior Forward	90	0	0	0.51	63.3	+11.8
Álvaro Carreras Defender	79	0	0	–	63.2	+8.9
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder	55	0	0	0.02	59.7	+4.5
Jude Bellingham Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	54.4	−5.6
Jorge Cestero Midfielder	11	0	0	–	50.7	–
Raúl Asencio Defender	90	0	1	0.10	46.7	−1.3
Franco Mastantuono Forward	55	0	0	–	42.7	−14.3
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.6	−11.2
Rodrygo Forward	42	0	0	0.07	31.5	–