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Red Bull Bragantino
Fernando

Fernando

Forward · Red Bull Bragantino · 27 · Brazil

537 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
54.5
Brasileiro Serie A 2026, 19 matches
Last 5 weeks
53.2
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€1.5M
−€500k (−25%) since 5 Sep 2025
Transfermarkt, 26 May 2026

Photo: Werner100359, CC BY 4.0, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
1 Mar 1999
Height
176 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
31 Dec 2028
Wikipedia views
278 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

13 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 52.6 (minutes-weighted); 0 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
20–26 Oct 202617056.951.757.8
13–19 Oct 2026219752.351.659.1
6–12 Oct 202619060.451.166.1
29 Sep – 5 Oct 202619046.651.550.3
15–21 Sep 202619051.951.553.1
8–14 Sep 202619048.851.949.3
1–7 Sep 2026110243.752.846.2
25–31 Aug 202614569.152.160.0
21–27 Jul 202629638.952.840.3
14–20 Jul 202618558.753.360.3
26 May – 1 Jun 2026211863.252.354.0
19–25 May 202624489.450.991.6
12–18 May 202622861.450.564.2
5–11 May 202629860.049.652.6
28 Apr – 4 May 202622344.349.443.7
21–27 Apr 202611140.849.639.9
14–20 Apr 202628555.049.162.4
24 Feb – 2 Mar 20261932.349.030.6
10–16 Feb 202611540.649.139.7
2–8 Dec 202511636.949.335.6
25 Nov – 1 Dec 20251858.649.262.3
18–24 Nov 202511041.949.241.1
11–17 Nov 202511747.049.256.5
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202513254.948.958.2
21–27 Oct 202512148.148.947.9
14–20 Oct 202524741.249.140.3
30 Sep – 6 Oct 202526845.649.257.3
23–29 Sep 202512237.849.936.6
16–22 Sep 202513445.350.144.8
9–15 Sep 202511739.850.438.8
26 Aug – 1 Sep 202511645.150.545.6

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: level with expectation (+0.2 a week).

30.040.050.060.070.030 Sep5 May14 Jul1 Sep15 Sep6 Oct20 OctScore 56.9Expected 51.7
537

On the breakout watchlist

A 16% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 55.1 over 1,490 minutes in the last year, up 0.2 over the last 10 weeks. Wikipedia views 18× below similar performers. Valued €1.5M against €16.4M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €1.5M −€500k (−25%) since 5 Sep 2025 26 May 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €1.4M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €1.4M–€3.0M +22% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age −14% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Ivan Zlobin at 27 (€1.5M, scoring 54.1) +0%; Danel Sinani at 28 (€1.5M, scoring 54.1) +100%; Adrian Beck at 27 (€2.0M, scoring 54.0) −25%. On the underpriced list: valued at 0.25× similar players in the same league.
0€2.5M€5.0M€7.5M€10M20192020202120222023202420252026€1.5M€1.4M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€1.4M
26 May 2026Transfermarkt€1.5M
10 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€1.5M
5 Sep 2025Transfermarkt€2.0M
6 Jun 2025Transfermarkt€2.7M
17 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€3.0M
21 May 2024Transfermarkt€5.0M
11 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€6.0M
12 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€10.0M
10 Nov 2022Transfermarkt€10.0M
20 Sep 2022Transfermarkt€10.0M
18 May 2022Transfermarkt€5.0M
20 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€3.0M
7 Jun 2021Transfermarkt€2.5M
14 Jan 2021Transfermarkt€3.0M
4 Sep 2020Transfermarkt€3.5M
8 Apr 2020Transfermarkt€4.0M
30 Dec 2019Transfermarkt€4.5M
20 Jun 2019Transfermarkt€5.5M
10 Dec 2018Transfermarkt€5.5M
6 Aug 2018Transfermarkt€5.5M

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
27 Feb 2025Red Bull Salzburg Red Bull BragantinoFirst match
5 Jan 2025Salzburg RB Bragantino€2.0M
1 Jul 2022Shakhtar D. Salzburg€6.0M

What the score is made of

Brasileiro Serie A 2026, 1,133 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 295 top-five-league forward seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

Shooting69Creating73Progressing93Keeping the ball86Defending72Aerial26Finishing5
As a table
PartPercentilePer 90 vs average
Shooting69+0.22
Creating73+0.20
Progressing93+0.90
Keeping the ball86+0.54
Defending72+0.13
Aerial26−0.47
Finishing5−0.36

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

05010015020028 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Ramón Sosa Palmeiras · 2749.9€10.0M95%Compare
Ange-Yoan Bonny Inter · 2350.4€35.0M93%Compare
Bryan Mbeumo Manchester United · 2756.3€75.0M92%Compare
John Yeboah Venezia · 2651.7€5.5M91%Compare
Bukayo Saka Arsenal · 2562.5€110M91%Compare
Anthony Gordon FC Barcelona · 2559.8€80.0M91%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Fernando.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
Brasileiro Serie A 2026Brasileirão Série ARed Bull Bragantino191,13354.556.8
CONMEBOL Sudamericana 2026Copa SudamericanaRed Bull Bragantino623354.750.0
Copa do Brasil 2026Copa do BrasilRed Bull Bragantino22038.538.5
Brasileiro Serie A 2025Brasileirão Série ARed Bull Bragantino1430845.048.1
Copa do Brasil 2025Copa do BrasilRed Bull Bragantino22845.755.3
UEFA Champions League 23/24Champions LeagueRed Bull Salzburg13552.859.8
UEFA Champions League 22/23Champions LeagueRed Bull Salzburg16565.875.4
UEFA Europa League 22/23Europa LeagueRed Bull Salzburg16043.244.2

Latest matches

41 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
24 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat PalmeirasL 0–270000.020.0456.9
18 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat RemoD 1–198000.840.0955.8
13 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série ACruzeiroW 4–299000.620.0448.8
7 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série AMirassolD 1–190000.470.2960.4
3 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Atlético MineiroL 0–190000.400.0146.6
20 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat FlamengoL 1–290000.110.1051.9
12 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat BotafogoD 1–190000.070.0748.8
5 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série ABahiaL 2–3102000.350.0443.7
29 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat São PauloL 1–245100.460.0069.1
26 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série ACoritibaD 0–084000.170.0946.9
All 41 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
24 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat PalmeirasL 0–270000.020.0456.9
18 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat RemoD 1–198000.840.0955.8
13 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série ACruzeiroW 4–299000.620.0448.8
7 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série AMirassolD 1–190000.470.2960.4
3 Oct 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Atlético MineiroL 0–190000.400.0146.6
20 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat FlamengoL 1–290000.110.1051.9
12 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série Aat BotafogoD 1–190000.070.0748.8
5 Sep 2026Brasileirão Série ABahiaL 2–3102000.350.0443.7
29 Aug 2026Brasileirão Série Aat São PauloL 1–245100.460.0069.1
26 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série ACoritibaD 0–084000.170.0946.9
23 Jul 2026Copa Sudamericanaat Club Sporting CristalD 0–01200–0.030.0
17 Jul 2026Brasileirão Série Aat FluminenseD 1–185000.090.2158.7
31 May 2026Brasileirão Série AInternacionalW 3–173100.430.0364.0
28 May 2026Copa SudamericanaCarabobo FCW 2–045100.220.0561.9
24 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat Vasco da GamaW 3–019100.930.02100.0
21 May 2026Copa Sudamericanaat River PlateD 1–12500–0.0050.7
17 May 2026Brasileirão Série AVitóriaW 2–019010.030.2373.6
13 May 2026Copa do Brasilat MirassolL 1–29000.020.0035.7
10 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat SantosL 0–216000.020.0049.3
8 May 2026Copa Sudamericanaat BloomingW 6–082120.090.6662.1
3 May 2026Brasileirão Série Aat ChapecoenseW 2–11400–0.0048.3
1 May 2026Copa SudamericanaRiver PlateL 0–1900––38.1
23 Apr 2026Copa do BrasilMirassolD 1–11100––40.8
19 Apr 2026Brasileirão Série ARemoW 4–225000.350.0049.0
17 Apr 2026Copa SudamericanaBloomingW 3–260101.310.0057.6
25 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série AAthleticoD 1–1900–0.0032.3
12 Feb 2026Brasileirão Série Aat CorinthiansL 0–21500–0.0140.6
7 Dec 2025Brasileirão Série Aat InternacionalL 1–31600–0.0036.9
26 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série AFortalezaL 0–18000.030.0058.6
23 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat FlamengoL 0–31000–0.0041.9
16 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série AAtlético MineiroW 2–017000.190.0047.0
2 Nov 2025Brasileirão Série Aat BahiaL 1–232000.100.0354.9
26 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série AVasco da GamaL 0–32100–0.1248.1
20 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série Aat JuventudeL 0–12500–0.0042.9
15 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série Aat PalmeirasL 1–52200–0.0039.3
4 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série AGrêmioW 1–045000.920.0051.2
1 Oct 2025Brasileirão Série Aat MirassolD 1–12300–0.0034.6
28 Sep 2025Brasileirão Série ASantosD 2–22200–0.0037.8
21 Sep 2025Brasileirão Série Aat CruzeiroL 1–23400–0.0045.3
14 Sep 2025Brasileirão Série ASport RecifeD 1–11700––39.8
30 Aug 2025Brasileirão Série Aat BotafogoL 1–416000.020.0045.1