UEFA Champions League 25/26, Round of 16 · 11 Mar 2026

Paris Saint-Germain 5–2 Chelsea

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Paris Saint-Germain favourites at 62%.

Paris Saint-Germain won although Chelsea made the better chances (1.6 xG to 0.9): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Malo Gusto, 77.2 in 88′.

Well above their usual level: Malo Gusto +30.3, Enzo Fernández +14.1, Pedro Neto +9.5.

Well below it: Nuno Mendes −21.0, Filip Jørgensen −18.0, Wesley Fofana −15.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

6 Mar 2026	L 1–3	v AS Monaco Ligue 1
28 Feb 2026	W 1–0	at Le Havre Ligue 1
25 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v AS Monaco Champions League
21 Feb 2026	W 3–0	v Metz Ligue 1
17 Feb 2026	W 3–2	at AS Monaco Champions League

4 Mar 2026	W 4–1	at Aston Villa Premier League
1 Mar 2026	L 1–2	at Arsenal Premier League
21 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v Burnley Premier League
10 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v Leeds United Premier League
7 Feb 2026	W 3–1	at Wolverhampton Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Forward	28	2	1	0.26	100.0	–
Désiré Doué Forward	62	0	1	0.05	64.6	−3.6
Ousmane Dembélé Forward	69	1	0	0.26	63.2	−2.7
Bradley Barcola Forward	77	1	0	0.12	60.1	+2.3
Vitinha Midfielder	90	1	0	0.20	58.9	−3.8
Kang-in Lee Midfielder	21	0	0	–	56.5	–
Lucas Hernández Defender	12	0	0	–	55.8	–
João Neves Midfielder	90	0	1	0.02	55.4	+2.1
Willian Pacho Defender	90	0	1	–	53.2	−6.9
Achraf Hakimi Defender	90	0	1	–	50.1	+0.1
Warren Zaïre-Emery Midfielder	78	0	0	–	49.5	−5.2
Nuno Mendes Defender	90	0	0	–	46.8	−21.0
Marquinhos Defender	90	0	0	–	43.3	−14.1
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	40.0	−6.5
Senny Mayulu Midfielder	13	0	0	–	39.6	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Malo Gusto Defender	88	1	0	0.17	77.2	+30.3
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	90	1	1	0.69	70.8	+14.1
Reece James Defender	90	0	0	–	67.8	+9.3
Pedro Neto Midfielder	90	0	1	–	60.7	+9.5
Marc Cucurella Defender	90	0	0	–	51.1	−4.2
João Pedro Forward	83	0	0	0.51	49.8	−15.0
Roméo Lavia Midfielder	12	0	0	–	49.2	–
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	90	0	0	–	45.5	−7.8
Wesley Fofana Defender	90	0	0	–	45.2	−15.5
Liam Delap Forward	12	0	0	0.03	43.6	–
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	90	0	0	–	43.3	−15.2
Cole Palmer Midfielder	83	0	0	0.16	41.8	−13.2
Alejandro Garnacho Forward	2	0	0	–	38.1	–
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	28.2	−18.0