UEFA Conference League 25/26, Round of 16 · 12 Mar 2026

Samsunspor 1–3 Rayo Vallecano

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Samsunspor favourites at 45%.

Rayo Vallecano won a close one on the chances: 0.6 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Alemão, 63.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Alemão +18.3, Josafat Mendes +10.9, Álvaro García +10.3.

Well below it: Okan Kocuk −21.7, Florian Lejeune −19.8, Isi Palazón −9.8.

Each side's last five results before this match.

8 Mar 2026	L 2–3	at Fenerbahçe Süper Lig
1 Mar 2026	D 0–0	v Gaziantep FK Süper Lig
26 Feb 2026	W 4–0	v KF Shkëndija Conference League
22 Feb 2026	D 0–0	at Fatih Karagümrük Süper Lig
19 Feb 2026	W 1–0	at KF Shkëndija Conference League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Cherif Ndiaye Forward	8	0	0	–	56.0	–
Ľubomír Šatka Defender	90	0	0	–	55.5	+6.7
Tanguy Coulibaly Midfielder	26	0	0	0.03	52.8	–
Marius Mouandilmadji Forward	82	1	0	0.29	51.5	+4.1
Logi Tomasson Defender	90	0	0	–	50.9	+9.5
Antoine Makoumbou Midfielder	63	0	0	0.05	50.7	+6.6
Josafat Mendes Defender	64	0	0	–	49.2	+10.9
Rick Van Drongelen Defender	90	0	0	0.01	47.1	−2.7
Olivier Ntcham Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	46.8	+1.2
Yunus Emre Çift Defender	64	0	0	–	41.9	−6.8
Celil Yüksel Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	40.4	−3.0
Carlo Holse Midfielder	90	0	1	0.06	36.2	−7.8
Emre Kılınç Midfielder	27	0	0	–	35.2	–
Zeki Yavru Defender	26	0	0	–	31.2	–
Okan Kocuk Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	25.8	−21.7

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Óscar Valentín Midfielder	14	0	1	–	65.7	–
Alemão Forward	90	2	0	0.26	63.6	+18.3
Álvaro García Midfielder	83	1	0	0.03	55.4	+10.3
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.0	+1.7
Unai López Midfielder	76	0	0	0.02	51.7	+1.3
Pathé Ismaël Ciss Midfielder	87	0	0	0.02	44.7	−4.4
Luiz Felipe Defender	90	0	0	–	43.8	−4.3
Isi Palazón Midfielder	75	0	2	0.08	42.9	−9.8
Pep Chavarría Defender	90	0	0	0.11	41.0	−1.3
Jorge de Frutos Forward	14	0	0	–	38.1	–
Ilias Akhomach Midfielder	76	0	0	–	36.5	−6.7
Florian Lejeune Defender	90	0	0	0.03	36.4	−19.8
Andrei Rațiu Defender	90	0	0	–	36.1	−9.7
Pedro Díaz Midfielder	15	0	0	–	32.6	–
Gerard Gumbau Midfielder	8	0	0	–	30.7	–
Pacha Defender	12	0	0	–	28.3	–