FOOTYBOT
Matchday

UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 29 Sep 2026

Luxembourg 0–3 Iceland

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.2 – 1.4
Actual xG
0.2 – 2.1
Goals
0 – 3

Footybot made Iceland favourites at 43%.

Iceland won and made the better chances: 2.1 xG to 0.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Andri Guðjohnsen, 77.7 in 75′.

Well above their usual level: Andri Guðjohnsen +32.3, Mikael Ellertsson +14.9, Orri Óskarsson +12.2.

Well below it: Aiman Dardari −14.5, Daníel Grétarsson −12.2, Anthony Moris −11.9.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Luxembourg

26 Sep 2026W 2–1at Bulgaria UEFA Nations League
17 Nov 2025L 0–1at Northern Ireland World Cup Qualification UEFA
14 Nov 2025L 0–2v Germany World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Oct 2025L 0–2at Slovakia World Cup Qualification UEFA
10 Oct 2025L 0–4at Germany World Cup Qualification UEFA

Iceland

26 Sep 2026D 1–1v Estonia UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2025L 0–2at Ukraine World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Nov 2025W 2–0at Azerbaijan World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Oct 2025D 2–2v France World Cup Qualification UEFA
10 Oct 2025L 3–5v Ukraine World Cup Qualification UEFA

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Luxembourg

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Laurent Jans Defender1500–69.6–
Enes Mahmutović Defender9000–57.4+10.0
Omar Natami Midfielder1400–51.4–
Leandro Barreiro Midfielder9000–50.1+1.9
Florian Bohnert Defender9000–48.7−2.5
Enzo dos Santos Midfielder2800–48.5–
Marvin Martins Defender7500–46.2–
Aiman Dardari Midfielder90000.0842.6−14.5
Anthony Moris Goalkeeper9000–34.5−11.9
Vincent Thill Midfielder62000.1034.2–

Iceland

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Andri Guðjohnsen Forward75110.8677.7+32.3
Gylfi Sigurðsson Midfielder90010.0561.2+4.2
Orri Óskarsson Forward74110.6361.0+12.2
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson Goalkeeper9000–52.3−0.5
Mikael Ellertsson Midfielder90000.1451.9+14.9
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson Midfielder6700–51.4+5.5
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson Midfielder75000.4347.3−3.9
Daníel Grétarsson Defender9000–45.6−12.2
Logi Tomasson Defender9000–45.4+6.9
Mikael Anderson Midfielder1500–41.6–
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson Midfielder90000.0540.0−10.6
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson Forward1600–39.1–
Arnór Sigurðsson Midfielder800–28.6–
Hörður Magnússon Defender2300–26.8–