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Brentford
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson

Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson

Goalkeeper · Brentford · 25 · Iceland

326 on the breakout watchlist Compare with others

Season score
57.3
UEFA Nations League 26/27, 4 matches
Last 5 weeks
57.3
average of weeks with 60+ minutes
Market value
€2.5M
+€700k (+39%) since 8 Dec 2023
Transfermarkt, 3 Jun 2026

Photo: Amanda Aikioniemi, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

Born
13 Oct 2001
Height
195 cm
Foot
R
Contract until
30 Jun 2030
Wikipedia views
1,952 4 weeks

Wikipedia Wikidata Transfermarkt

Every week

1–7 Jul 2025 to 20–26 Oct 2026

12 of 69 weeks with 60+ minutes, averaging 56.2 (minutes-weighted); 1 of them 70 or better.

no matchunder 60′under 4545–5555–7070+

Every week as a table
WeekMatchesMinutesScoreExpectedUnderlying
6–12 Oct 202619053.552.853.5
29 Sep – 5 Oct 2026218052.653.052.6
22–28 Sep 202619070.551.970.5
25–31 Aug 202619046.752.446.7
26 May – 1 Jun 202619068.151.268.1
24 Feb – 2 Mar 202619041.452.141.4
10–16 Feb 202619052.752.152.7
6–12 Jan 202619058.551.658.5
16–22 Dec 202519053.551.553.5
28 Oct – 3 Nov 202519056.151.256.1
16–22 Sep 202519062.750.162.7
26 Aug – 1 Sep 202519061.848.961.8

Against expectation

How it's expected

Each week's score beside what the player's earlier matches led to expect. Over the last 10 weeks with 60+ minutes: +3.0 a week above expectation.

40.050.060.070.080.026 Aug28 Oct6 Jan24 Feb25 Aug29 SepScore 53.5Expected 52.8
326

On the breakout watchlist

A 24% chance of breaking out within a year, on how players like them went before. Underlying 55.1 over 990 minutes in the last year, up 0.1 over the last 10 weeks. Valued €2.5M against €8.0M expected. See the list

Market value

Where these come from
Transfermarkt €2.5M +€700k (+39%) since 8 Dec 2023 3 Jun 2026 · its own valuation, revised a few times a year
Current estimate €2.6M no change recorded 22 Oct 2026 · BSD, seen when squads refresh
Next summer, if it goes like similar cases €2.3M–€5.1M +40% median of 40 similar past cases; players the same age +0% Closest cases, what their Transfermarkt value then did in a year: Ahmed Touba at 24 (€3.0M, scoring 56.5) −7%; Jens Petter Hauge at 25 (€3.0M, scoring 56.3) +50%; Stanley Nsoki at 25 (€2.5M, scoring 57.1) −28%.
0€1.0M€2.0M€3.0M20192020202120222023202420252026€2.5M€2.6M
Every value as a table
DateSourceValue
22 Oct 2026Current estimate (BSD)€2.6M
3 Jun 2026Transfermarkt€2.5M
9 Dec 2025Transfermarkt€2.5M
30 May 2025Transfermarkt€2.5M
16 Dec 2024Transfermarkt€2.5M
27 May 2024Transfermarkt€2.5M
14 Mar 2024Transfermarkt€2.5M
8 Dec 2023Transfermarkt€1.8M
13 Sep 2023Transfermarkt€1.2M
27 Jun 2023Transfermarkt€900k
14 Dec 2022Transfermarkt€600k
2 Sep 2022Transfermarkt€350k
24 Jun 2022Transfermarkt€300k
17 Dec 2021Transfermarkt€250k
1 Dec 2020Transfermarkt€50k
16 Oct 2019Transfermarkt€50k
15 Dec 2018Transfermarkt€25k

Two different estimates, so each is its own line and each change is measured within its own line.

Moves

All transfers
DateMoveFee
26 Jan 2024Elfsborg Brentford€3.0M
16 Jul 2021Grótta ElfsborgUndisclosed

What the score is made of

UEFA Nations League 26/27, 360 minutes. Each part as a percentile against 125 top-five-league goalkeeper seasons of 900+ minutes since 2025/26: 50 is the middle of them (the dashed ring).

Shot stopping99Claiming64Sweeping4Distribution30
As a table
PartPercentilePer 90 vs average
Shot stopping99+0.83
Claiming64+0.06
Sweeping4−0.18
Distribution30−0.20

Attention

English Wikipedia views per week, the article and its redirects, last 52 weeks.

05001.0K1.5K28 Oct16 Dec3 Feb24 Mar12 May30 Jun18 Aug6 Oct

Plays most like

same position, last 12 months: the shape of their play, not its level
PlayerRecent scoreValue nowLikeness
Elías Ólafsson FC Midtjylland · 2649.0€4.0M96%Compare
Jeffrey De Lange Olympique de Marseille · 2852.8€2.5M96%Compare
Moritz Nicolas Borussia M'gladbach · 2946.4€8.0M93%Compare
Bart Verbruggen Brighton & Hove Albion · 2452.1€40.0M93%Compare
Martin Zlomislić Qarabağ FK · 2849.5€2.0M91%Compare
Christos Mandas Lazio · 2557.6€10.0M91%Compare

Recent score: the last six months. Cheaper: valued at less than 60% of Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson.

Seasons

SeasonCompetitionTeamMatchesMinutesScoreUnderlying
UEFA Nations League 26/27UEFA Nations LeagueIceland436057.357.3
EFL Cup 26/27EFL CupBrentford19046.746.7
Int. Friendly Games 2026International FriendliesIceland19068.168.1
EFL Cup 25/26EFL CupBrentford436058.558.5
FA Cup 25/26FA CupBrentford218055.655.6
Premier League 25/26Premier LeagueBrentford19041.441.4
Int. Friendly Games 2025International FriendliesIceland19042.342.3
EFL Cup 24/25EFL CupBrentford218049.549.5
Premier League 24/25Premier LeagueBrentford214451.451.4
FA Cup 24/25FA CupBrentford19046.246.2

Latest matches

13 since July 2025
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
6 Oct 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat EstoniaD 0–09000–0.0053.5
3 Oct 2026UEFA Nations LeagueBulgariaW 3–09000–0.0052.8
29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat LuxembourgW 3–09000–0.0052.4
26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations LeagueEstoniaD 1–19000–0.0070.5
25 Aug 2026EFL Cupat Birmingham CityW 6–19000––46.7
31 May 2026International Friendliesat JapanL 0–19000––68.1
28 Feb 2026Premier Leagueat BurnleyW 4–39000–0.0041.4
16 Feb 2026FA Cupat Macclesfield FCW 1–09000––52.7
10 Jan 2026FA Cupat Sheffield WednesdayW 2–09000––58.5
17 Dec 2025EFL Cupat Manchester CityL 0–29000––53.5
All 13 matches
DateCompetitionOpponentResultMinGoalsAssistsxGxAScore
6 Oct 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat EstoniaD 0–09000–0.0053.5
3 Oct 2026UEFA Nations LeagueBulgariaW 3–09000–0.0052.8
29 Sep 2026UEFA Nations Leagueat LuxembourgW 3–09000–0.0052.4
26 Sep 2026UEFA Nations LeagueEstoniaD 1–19000–0.0070.5
25 Aug 2026EFL Cupat Birmingham CityW 6–19000––46.7
31 May 2026International Friendliesat JapanL 0–19000––68.1
28 Feb 2026Premier Leagueat BurnleyW 4–39000–0.0041.4
16 Feb 2026FA Cupat Macclesfield FCW 1–09000––52.7
10 Jan 2026FA Cupat Sheffield WednesdayW 2–09000––58.5
17 Dec 2025EFL Cupat Manchester CityL 0–29000––53.5
28 Oct 2025EFL Cupat Grimsby TownW 5–09000––56.1
16 Sep 2025EFL CupAston VillaD 1–19000––62.7
26 Aug 2025EFL Cupat BournemouthW 2–09000––61.8