UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 3 Oct 2026

Iceland 3–0 Bulgaria

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Iceland favourites at 69%.

Iceland won and made the better chances: 3.0 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Orri Óskarsson, 73.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Orri Óskarsson +24.4, Andrian Kraev +13.4, Mikael Anderson +8.2.

Well below it: Daníel Grétarsson −15.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

29 Sep 2026	W 3–0	at Luxembourg UEFA Nations League
26 Sep 2026	D 1–1	v Estonia UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at Ukraine World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Nov 2025	W 2–0	at Azerbaijan World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Oct 2025	D 2–2	v France World Cup Qualification UEFA

29 Sep 2026	D 0–0	v Estonia UEFA Nations League
26 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Luxembourg UEFA Nations League
18 Nov 2025	W 2–1	v Georgia World Cup Qualification UEFA
15 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at Türkiye World Cup Qualification UEFA
14 Oct 2025	L 0–4	at Spain World Cup Qualification UEFA

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Orri Óskarsson Forward	90	2	1	2.29	73.7	+24.4
Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson Forward	62	0	0	0.03	53.9	+7.0
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	52.8	+0.1
Andri Fannar Baldursson Midfielder	62	0	0	0.02	46.9	+7.2
Mikael Anderson Midfielder	90	0	1	–	46.1	+8.2
Mikael Ellertsson Midfielder	90	1	0	0.57	46.1	+7.5
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.06	44.7	−4.6
Andri Guðjohnsen Forward	45	0	0	–	43.9	−4.9
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson Midfielder	82	0	1	–	42.5	−7.4
Daníel Grétarsson Defender	45	0	0	–	40.7	−15.4
Arnór Sigurðsson Midfielder	45	0	0	–	39.6	–
Hörður Magnússon Defender	90	0	0	0.02	36.2	–
Logi Tomasson Defender	8	0	0	–	29.9	–
Gylfi Sigurðsson Midfielder	28	0	0	–	26.2	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Andrian Kraev Midfielder	90	0.02	60.1	+13.4
Marin Petkov Midfielder	35	0.02	59.6	–
Dimitar Velkovski Defender	90	–	59.2	+7.8
Petko Panayotov Midfielder	23	0.02	59.2	–
Ivan Turitsov Defender	90	–	58.7	–
Kristian Dimitrov Defender	90	0.03	54.7	+3.4
Atanas Iliev Forward	83	0.72	52.9	–
Daniel Naumov Goalkeeper	90	–	52.1	–
Lukas Petkov Midfielder	55	–	51.4	+6.1
Georgi Rusev Midfielder	67	0.21	51.0	+8.1
Ilia Gruev Midfielder	55	–	46.9	−0.4
Asen Chandarov Midfielder	67	–	42.1	−3.1