EFL Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 16 Sep 2025

Brentford 1–1 Aston Villa

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 25% · Chances everywhere: 7.3 xG · Standout: Mikkel Damsgaard scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Brentford favourites at 47%.

A draw the chances agree with: 3.6 xG to 3.7.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Harvey Elliott, 65.9 in 67′.

Well above their usual level: Ezri Konsa +16.4, Sepp van den Berg +8.4.

Well below it: Kristoffer Ajer −11.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

13 Sep 2025	D 2–2	v Chelsea Premier League
30 Aug 2025	L 1–2	at Sunderland Premier League
26 Aug 2025	W 2–0	at Bournemouth EFL Cup
23 Aug 2025	W 1–0	v Aston Villa Premier League
17 Aug 2025	L 1–3	at Nottingham Forest Premier League

13 Sep 2025	D 0–0	at Everton Premier League
31 Aug 2025	L 0–3	v Crystal Palace Premier League
23 Aug 2025	L 0–1	at Brentford Premier League
16 Aug 2025	D 0–0	v Newcastle United Premier League

23 Aug 2025	Brentford 1–0 Aston Villa Premier League

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Mikkel Damsgaard Midfielder	12	0	0.78	100.0	–
Michael Kayode Defender	12	0	–	65.4	–
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson Goalkeeper	90	0	–	62.7	–
Sepp van den Berg Defender	90	0	0.06	57.9	+8.4
Fabio Carvalho Forward	90	0	0.80	51.0	–
Vitaly Janelt Midfielder	45	0	–	50.9	–
Yehor Yarmoliuk Midfielder	45	0	0.76	50.3	+2.3
Aaron Hickey Defender	78	1	0.09	49.8	–
Reiss Nelson Midfielder	22	0	0.76	46.3	–
Frank Onyeka Midfielder	90	0	–	45.0	–
Dango Ouattara Midfielder	78	0	0.13	44.2	−2.6
Kristoffer Ajer Defender	52	0	0.01	42.3	−11.5
Antoni Milambo Midfielder	68	0	–	41.7	–
Benjamin Arthur Defender	90	0	0.11	41.1	–
Rico Henry Defender	90	0	0.08	40.4	–
Nathan Collins Defender	38	0	–	37.9	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ollie Watkins Forward	23	0	0	0.76	67.8	–
Harvey Elliott Midfielder	67	1	0	0.11	65.9	–
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder	16	0	0	0.76	65.8	–
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder	16	0	0	–	65.8	–
Ezri Konsa Defender	90	0	0	–	65.0	+16.4
Pau Torres Defender	90	0	0	0.18	62.4	–
John McGinn Midfielder	90	0	1	0.76	61.2	−1.9
Marco Bizot Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.9	–
Jadon Sancho Midfielder	74	0	0	0.09	48.2	–
Matty Cash Defender	90	0	0	0.88	46.7	−3.1
Lamare Bogarde Midfielder	74	0	0	–	46.5	–
Donyell Malen Forward	67	0	0	0.03	40.7	–
Jamaldeen Jimoh Midfielder	10	0	0	–	40.3	–
Ian Maatsen Defender	90	0	0	0.05	39.8	–
Evann Guessand Forward	80	0	0	–	38.3	–
Morgan Rogers Midfielder	23	0	0	0.10	31.0	–