UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 6 Oct 2026

Estonia 0–0 Iceland

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Estonia favourites at 42%.

A draw the chances agree with: 0.4 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Gylfi Sigurðsson, 83.1 in 67′.

Well below it: Orri Óskarsson −8.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

3 Oct 2026	W 1–0	v Luxembourg UEFA Nations League
29 Sep 2026	D 0–0	at Bulgaria UEFA Nations League
26 Sep 2026	D 1–1	at Iceland UEFA Nations League
13 Nov 2025	L 1–4	at Norway World Cup Qualification UEFA
14 Oct 2025	D 1–1	v Moldova World Cup Qualification UEFA

3 Oct 2026	W 3–0	v Bulgaria UEFA Nations League
29 Sep 2026	W 3–0	at Luxembourg UEFA Nations League
26 Sep 2026	D 1–1	v Estonia UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2025	L 0–2	at Ukraine World Cup Qualification UEFA
13 Nov 2025	W 2–0	at Azerbaijan World Cup Qualification UEFA

26 Sep 2026	Iceland 1–1 Estonia UEFA Nations League

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Mattias Käit Midfielder	29	0.14	64.7	–
Maksim Paskotsi Defender	90	0.03	60.0	+12.1
Patrik Kristal Midfielder	68	0.02	59.2	+21.5
Rasmus Peetson Midfielder	90	0.09	50.5	−6.3
Michael Schjønning-Larsen Defender	29	–	49.7	–
Mattias Männilaan Forward	61	0.11	43.2	–
Joseph Saliste Defender	61	–	37.9	–
Maksimilian Skvortsov Midfielder	22	–	30.5	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Gylfi Sigurðsson Midfielder	67	0.05	83.1	+25.1
Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson Midfielder	90	0.05	72.0	+24.5
Brynjólfur Darri Willumsson Forward	23	0.18	69.2	–
Hörður Magnússon Defender	67	0.01	67.6	–
Daníel Grétarsson Defender	90	–	63.4	+8.4
Logi Tomasson Defender	23	–	60.1	–
Stefán Teitur Þórðarson Midfielder	90	–	59.6	+13.2
Mikael Anderson Midfielder	90	0.03	55.0	+15.3
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson Goalkeeper	90	–	53.5	+0.8
Hakon Arnar Haraldsson Midfielder	90	0.02	53.0	+3.3
Andri Guðjohnsen Forward	90	0.04	48.5	−1.3
Orri Óskarsson Forward	90	–	43.9	−8.1