UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 5 Oct 2026

France 4–1 Belgium

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made France favourites at 67%.

France won and made the better chances: 2.0 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Dodi Lukebakio, 100.0 in 70′.

Well above their usual level: Dodi Lukebakio +47.1, Leny Yoro +22.8, Manu Koné +17.3.

Well below it: Maarten Vandevoordt −17.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

2 Oct 2026	D 1–1	v Italy UEFA Nations League
28 Sep 2026	W 1–0	at Belgium UEFA Nations League
25 Sep 2026	W 1–0	at Türkiye UEFA Nations League
18 Jul 2026	L 4–6	v England World Cup 2026
14 Jul 2026	L 0–2	v Spain World Cup 2026

2 Oct 2026	W 3–0	v Türkiye UEFA Nations League
28 Sep 2026	L 0–1	v France UEFA Nations League
25 Sep 2026	W 2–0	at Italy UEFA Nations League
10 Jul 2026	L 1–2	at Spain World Cup 2026
7 Jul 2026	W 4–1	at USA World Cup 2026

28 Sep 2026	Belgium 0–1 France UEFA Nations League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Michael Olise Midfielder	30	2	1	0.76	100.0	–
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	30	1	0	0.34	100.0	–
Désiré Doué Forward	18	1	2	0.04	100.0	–
Ousmane Dembélé Forward	60	0	0	0.22	83.3	+17.1
Leny Yoro Defender	90	0	0	–	77.3	+22.8
Manu Koné Midfielder	61	0	0	0.01	73.3	+17.3
Lucas Da Cunha Midfielder	29	0	1	–	69.7	–
Maxence Lacroix Defender	90	0	0	0.02	67.9	+2.0
Maghnes Akliouche Midfielder	60	0	0	0.05	65.1	+8.9
Andy Diouf Midfielder	90	0	0	–	61.8	+4.5
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder	88	0	0	0.02	60.7	+8.2
Jules Koundé Defender	90	0	0	0.03	55.6	−0.2
Bradley Barcola Forward	72	0	0	0.13	55.1	+0.6
Guillaume Restes Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.5	−7.1
Esteban Lepaul Forward	90	0	0	0.38	44.6	−8.0
Adrien Rabiot Midfielder	2	0	0	–	7.4	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Dodi Lukebakio Midfielder	70	1	0	0.30	100.0	+47.1
Mika Godts Forward	20	0	0	–	65.5	–
Brandon Mechele Defender	90	0	0	–	65.3	+6.0
Roméo Lavia Midfielder	87	0	1	–	63.7	+11.8
Diego Moreira Midfielder	87	0	0	–	60.7	+9.0
Nathan Ngoy Defender	90	0	0	0.04	59.1	+7.4
Nicolas Raskin Midfielder	90	0	0	0.23	55.0	+9.9
Charles De Ketelaere Forward	20	0	0	–	52.9	–
Hans Vanaken Midfielder	87	0	0	–	52.4	+0.8
Mandela Keita Midfielder	3	0	0	–	49.9	–
Timothy Castagne Defender	90	0	0	–	48.4	−4.4
Loïs Openda Forward	3	0	0	–	46.4	–
Joaquin Seys Defender	90	0	0	–	45.3	+0.4
Romelu Lukaku Forward	70	0	0	0.02	43.7	−3.4
Leandro Trossard Forward	3	0	0	–	36.9	–
Maarten Vandevoordt Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	29.1	−17.5