Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.3 – 1.1
- Actual xG
- 1.4 – 0.8
- Goals
- 0 – 2
Footybot made Luxembourg favourites at 43%.
Bulgaria won although Luxembourg made the better chances (1.4 xG to 0.8): a result the chances didn't back.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Daniel Naumov, 65.0 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Atanas Iliev +18.8, Eric Veiga +16.6, Georgi Rusev +16.6.
Well below it: Anthony Moris −32.4, Florian Bohnert −14.7, Aiman Dardari −10.9.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Luxembourg
| 3 Oct 2026 | L 0–1 | at Estonia |
| 29 Sep 2026 | L 0–3 | v Iceland |
| 26 Sep 2026 | W 2–1 | at Bulgaria |
| 17 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | at Northern Ireland |
| 14 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | v Germany |
Bulgaria
| 3 Oct 2026 | L 0–3 | at Iceland |
| 29 Sep 2026 | D 0–0 | v Estonia |
| 26 Sep 2026 | L 1–2 | v Luxembourg |
| 18 Nov 2025 | W 2–1 | v Georgia |
| 15 Nov 2025 | L 0–2 | at Türkiye |
Head to head
| 26 Sep 2026 | Bulgaria 1–2 Luxembourg |
Luxembourg
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sebastien Thill | 12 | 64.6 | – |
| Vahid Selimović | 90 | 64.4 | – |
| Tiago Pereira Cardoso | 45 | 59.3 | – |
| Eric Veiga | 78 | 50.6 | +16.6 |
| Vincent Thill | 90 | 46.4 | −3.0 |
| Omar Natami | 90 | 45.5 | – |
| Aiman Dardari | 45 | 43.1 | −10.9 |
| Florian Bohnert | 90 | 39.1 | −14.7 |
| Enzo dos Santos | 45 | 35.7 | – |
| Anthony Moris | 45 | 16.3 | −32.4 |
Bulgaria
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel Naumov | 90 | 65.0 | +14.2 |
| Atanas Iliev | 66 | 64.0 | +18.8 |
| Georgi Rusev | 50 | 60.6 | +16.6 |
| Petko Panayotov | 40 | 52.7 | – |
| Kristiyan Balov | 66 | 52.0 | – |
| Yoni Stoyanov | 90 | 50.0 | – |
| Andrian Kraev | 90 | 46.2 | −3.1 |
| Hristiyan Petrov | 90 | 45.4 | −0.4 |
| Stanislav Ivanov | 24 | 43.9 | – |
| Ilia Gruev | 90 | 43.9 | −3.9 |
| Kristian Dimitrov | 11 | 36.8 | – |