Bundesliga 26/27 · 23 Oct 2026

VfB Stuttgart 2–3 Borussia M'gladbach

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 16% · Chances everywhere: 4.2 xG · Standout: Jeff Chabot scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made VfB Stuttgart favourites at 65%.

Borussia M'gladbach won and made the better chances: 2.6 xG to 1.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Wael Mohya, 84.2 in 70′.

Well above their usual level: Wael Mohya +42.3, Chris Führich +24.8, Ramon Hendriks +18.3.

Well below it: Moritz Nicolas −13.9, Angelo Stiller −9.7, Dennis Seimen −9.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Oct 2026	D 1–1	v Atlético Madrid Champions League
17 Oct 2026	L 0–1	at Hamburger SV Bundesliga
14 Oct 2026	W 3–0	at ŠK Slovan Bratislava Champions League
10 Oct 2026	W 2–0	at SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga
19 Sep 2026	L 0–1	v Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga

25 Jan 2026	Borussia M'gladbach 0–3 VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
30 Aug 2025	VfB Stuttgart 1–0 Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jeff Chabot Defender	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Chris Führich Midfielder	90	0	0	–	81.0	+24.8
Jamie Leweling Midfielder	35	0	1	–	79.6	–
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender	90	0	0	–	70.2	+4.6
Ramon Hendriks Defender	90	0	0	0.21	69.9	+18.3
Grischa Prömel Midfielder	26	0	0	0.11	64.9	–
Bilal El Khannouss Midfielder	35	0	0	0.02	64.5	–
Ermedin Demirović Forward	90	2	0	0.63	63.0	+13.0
Finn Jeltsch Defender	89	0	0	–	52.8	−4.5
Atakan Karazor Midfielder	64	0	0	–	52.2	+3.4
Lorenz Assignon Defender	55	0	0	0.11	51.9	+4.4
Angelo Stiller Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	50.8	−9.7
Leo Sauer Forward	55	0	0	0.10	50.1	−1.1
Dennis Seimen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.1	−9.2
Deniz Undav Forward	35	0	0	0.15	45.7	–
Dženan Pejčinović Forward	55	0	1	0.15	44.4	−0.7

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Wael Mohya Midfielder	70	1	1	1.02	84.2	+42.3
Robin Hack Midfielder	20	0	0	0.03	71.0	–
Shuto Machino Forward	84	1	0	0.61	58.3	+12.6
Joe Scally Defender	70	1	1	0.31	57.8	+12.8
Philipp Sander Defender	90	0	0	–	57.7	+5.3
Daiki Hashioka Defender	90	0	0	–	57.0	+9.3
Florian Neuhaus Midfielder	90	0	0	0.25	54.9	+8.7
Hugo Bolin Midfielder	84	0	0	0.24	52.7	+3.8
Fabio Chiarodia Defender	76	0	0	0.09	51.2	+7.0
Yukhym Konoplya Defender	20	0	0	–	40.0	–
Mathieu Nguefack Midfielder	11	0	0	–	37.6	–
Lukas Ullrich Defender	90	0	0	–	37.4	−7.0
Zento Uno Midfielder	90	0	1	0.05	37.3	–
David Herold Defender	14	0	0	–	36.6	–
Moritz Nicolas Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	33.7	−13.9