Bundesliga 26/27 · 19 Sep 2026

Borussia M'gladbach 3–4 1. FSV Mainz 05

Picked for matchday: Chances everywhere: 5.9 xG · Standout: Shuto Machino scored 100.0 · Breakout watch: Kacper Potulski

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Borussia M'gladbach favourites at 46%.

1. FSV Mainz 05 won although Borussia M'gladbach made the better chances (3.4 xG to 2.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kacper Potulski, 69.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Kacper Potulski +21.1, Florian Neuhaus +21.1, Anthony Caci +16.0.

Well below it: Moritz Nicolas −20.5, Hugo Bolin −10.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

12 Sep 2026	L 1–3	v Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
6 Sep 2026	W 5–0	at Hamburger SV Bundesliga
29 Aug 2026	D 0–0	v SC Paderborn 07 Bundesliga
23 Aug 2026	W 9–0	at VfB 1921 Krieschow DFB-Pokal
16 May 2026	W 2–0	at 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga

19 Apr 2026	Borussia M'gladbach 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
5 Dec 2025	1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Shuto Machino Forward	15	1	0	0.97	100.0	–
Kevin Stöger Midfielder	14	0	0	–	97.5	–
Florian Neuhaus Midfielder	64	1	0	0.40	62.6	+21.1
Kevin Diks Defender	90	0	0	0.79	59.4	+9.5
Jan Leszczyński Defender	90	0	0	0.08	58.0	–
Isac Lidberg Forward	90	1	0	0.34	56.8	+13.8
Daiki Hashioka Defender	14	0	0	–	52.1	–
Philipp Sander Defender	90	0	0	0.05	51.1	+1.2
Wael Mohya Midfielder	26	0	0	0.15	47.7	–
Ko Itakura Defender	84	0	0	0.13	45.1	−3.5
Joe Scally Defender	76	0	0	0.01	43.0	−4.3
Lukas Ullrich Defender	90	0	2	0.33	41.0	−3.4
Franck Honorat Midfielder	76	0	0	–	40.5	−5.8
Hugo Bolin Midfielder	84	0	0	0.11	37.3	−10.1
Robin Hack Midfielder	15	0	0	–	34.7	–
Moritz Nicolas Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	34.5	−20.5

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Danny da Costa Defender	25	1	0	0.28	100.0	–
Eric Martel Midfielder	25	1	0	0.19	82.2	–
Lennard Maloney Midfielder	8	0	0	–	81.6	–
Kacper Potulski Defender	90	0	0	0.66	69.8	+21.1
Anthony Caci Midfielder	65	0	1	0.30	69.2	+16.0
Sheraldo Becker Forward	76	1	1	0.22	63.0	+14.1
Kaishu Sano Midfielder	90	0	1	0.03	61.3	+11.7
Fabio Gruber Defender	90	0	0	–	60.5	+5.4
Stefan Posch Defender	90	0	0	–	58.9	+9.8
Phillip Tietz Forward	90	1	0	0.86	57.3	+6.0
Nadiem Amiri Midfielder	89	0	0	–	57.0	−5.4
Jae-sung Lee Midfielder	65	0	0	–	55.4	+7.3
Alexander Schwolow Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.3	+5.7
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	49.8	+4.4
Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Forward	14	0	0	–	35.5	–