Championship 26/27 · 23 Oct 2026

Bolton Wanderers 1–5 Middlesbrough

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Middlesbrough favourites at 49%.

Middlesbrough won and made the better chances: 4.2 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Will Lankshear, 64.8 in 79′.

Well above their usual level: Gavin Bazunu +16.5, Gaizka Larrazabal +16.4, Will Lankshear +14.9.

Well below it: Atsuki Ito −9.1, Sebastian Berhalter −8.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

17 Oct 2026	D 0–0	at Southampton Championship
13 Oct 2026	W 3–1	at Wolverhampton Championship
10 Oct 2026	L 1–2	v Stoke City Championship
20 Sep 2026	W 4–3	at Norwich City Championship
12 Sep 2026	W 1–0	v Cardiff City Championship

17 Oct 2026	D 2–2	v Cardiff City Championship
13 Oct 2026	W 3–2	at Stoke City Championship
10 Oct 2026	W 1–0	v Wolverhampton Championship
19 Sep 2026	D 2–2	at Birmingham City Championship
15 Sep 2026	D 2–2	v Millwall Championship

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Gavin Bazunu Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	63.8	+16.5
Theo Bair Forward	55	1	0	0.26	59.7	+12.9
Gaizka Larrazabal Midfielder	90	0	1	–	57.8	+16.4
Lewis Brunt Defender	90	0	0	–	56.9	+11.5
Eoin Toal Defender	90	0	0	–	53.2	+8.0
Max Conway Defender	45	0	0	0.03	48.6	+7.8
Josh Sheehan Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	47.8	+0.6
Rúben Rodrigues Midfielder	45	0	0	0.23	47.6	+2.0
Xavier Simons Midfielder	16	0	0	0.04	46.0	–
Thierry Gale Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	44.3	+4.6
Kyliane Dong Midfielder	74	0	0	0.20	42.4	+10.1
Sam Dalby Forward	35	0	0	–	41.3	–
Akin Famewo Defender	45	0	0	–	39.9	+2.4
Ethan Erhahon Midfielder	55	0	0	–	39.1	−5.4
Ryan Hardie Forward	35	0	0	0.05	38.3	–
Atsuki Ito Midfielder	45	0	0	–	36.6	−9.1

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Will Lankshear Forward	79	2	0	1.85	64.8	+14.9
Tommy Conway Forward	69	0	1	0.42	62.9	+11.7
Aidan Morris Midfielder	90	1	0	0.92	60.5	+8.2
Leo Castledine Midfielder	11	0	0	–	56.3	–
Amario Cozier-Duberry Midfielder	79	1	1	0.37	52.7	−1.3
Adilson Malanda Defender	90	0	0	0.13	52.4	+5.1
Riley McGree Midfielder	79	0	2	0.09	49.5	+7.3
Neto Borges Defender	90	0	0	0.01	46.1	−1.5
Callum Brittain Defender	90	0	0	0.17	41.8	−3.8
Sebastian Berhalter Midfielder	86	0	0	0.09	41.5	−8.1
Ashley Phillips Defender	90	0	0	0.03	40.7	−4.3
Radek Vitek Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	40.7	−6.1
Myles Peart-Harris Midfielder	8	0	0	–	40.1	–
Maximilian Arfsten Midfielder	21	0	0	0.07	39.5	–
Kyle Joseph Forward	11	0	0	–	35.7	–
Jeremy Sarmiento Midfielder	11	0	0	–	8.9	–