LaLiga 25/26 · 1 Feb 2026

Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 72%.

Real Madrid won and made the better chances: 2.1 xG to 1.0.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Dani Ceballos, 65.0 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Jorge de Frutos +18.7, Dani Ceballos +12.6, Federico Valverde +11.2.

Each side's last five results before this match.

9 Nov 2025	Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Real Madrid LaLiga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Rodrygo Forward	13	0	0	0.06	71.4	–
Dani Ceballos Midfielder	45	0	0	0.02	65.0	+12.6
Federico Valverde Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	64.2	+11.2
Arda Güler Midfielder	77	0	0	0.07	63.5	−0.9
Kylian Mbappé Forward	90	1	0	1.49	59.6	−14.0
Vinícius Júnior Forward	90	1	0	0.12	52.2	−0.6
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.9	−1.8
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	48.6	−11.8
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	47.4	−7.1
Dean Huijsen Defender	77	0	0	0.11	44.9	−10.1
David Alaba Defender	13	0	0	–	43.8	–
Jude Bellingham Midfielder	10	0	0	–	40.9	–
Raúl Asencio Defender	45	0	0	–	40.8	−6.3
Franco Mastantuono Forward	60	0	0	–	39.4	−16.2
Gonzalo García Forward	30	0	0	–	38.0	–
Brahim Díaz Midfielder	80	0	1	0.15	38.0	−19.3

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jorge de Frutos Forward	56	1	0	0.10	64.2	+18.7
Pedro Díaz Midfielder	34	0	0	–	63.2	–
Florian Lejeune Defender	90	0	0	–	57.2	+4.0
Óscar Valentín Midfielder	34	0	0	0.01	56.7	–
Nobel Mendy Defender	90	0	0	–	53.6	+8.6
Augusto Batalla Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	50.5	+2.8
Ilias Akhomach Midfielder	83	0	0	0.24	48.7	+6.8
Gerard Gumbau Midfielder	56	0	0	0.02	48.7	−5.9
Álvaro García Midfielder	77	0	1	0.12	46.8	+3.5
Andrei Rațiu Defender	90	0	0	0.39	45.1	−1.5
Luiz Felipe Defender	22	0	0	–	43.8	–
Isi Palazón Midfielder	83	0	0	0.03	41.5	−7.5
Pathé Ismaël Ciss Midfielder	80	0	0	0.02	40.1	−9.9
Pep Chavarría Defender	90	0	0	0.04	39.6	−6.1
Carlos Martín Midfielder	22	0	0	–	35.4	–
Pacha Defender	13	0	0	–	23.9	–