EFL Cup 25/26, Quarterfinals · 16 Dec 2025

Cardiff City 1–3 Chelsea

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Nov 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Chelsea favourites at 68%.

Chelsea won and made the better chances: 2.4 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Alejandro Garnacho, 94.2 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Alejandro Garnacho +41.9, Joel Bagan +26.0, Filip Jørgensen +20.7.

Well below it: Tosin Adarabioyo −26.1, Jamie Gittens −21.2, Tyrique George −14.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Nov 2025	L 0–1	at Peterborough United FA Cup
28 Oct 2025	W 2–1	at Wrexham EFL Cup
23 Sep 2025	W 2–1	at Burnley EFL Cup
26 Aug 2025	W 3–0	v Cheltenham Town EFL Cup
12 Aug 2025	W 2–1	v Swindon Town EFL Cup

13 Dec 2025	W 2–0	v Everton Premier League
9 Dec 2025	L 1–2	at Atalanta Champions League
6 Dec 2025	D 0–0	at Bournemouth Premier League
3 Dec 2025	L 1–3	at Leeds United Premier League
30 Nov 2025	D 1–1	v Arsenal Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Alex Robertson Midfielder	10	0	0	–	65.5	–
Joel Bagan Defender	90	0	0	–	60.0	+26.0
Perry Ng Defender	89	0	1	0.08	53.0	–
David Turnbull Midfielder	90	1	0	0.16	50.1	–
Dylan Lawlor Defender	90	0	0	–	48.0	+2.4
Isaak Davies Forward	56	0	0	0.10	46.1	+1.4
Joel Colwill Midfielder	80	0	0	–	45.8	−4.1
Calum Chambers Defender	90	0	0	0.05	43.4	−1.4
Chris Willock Midfielder	34	0	0	0.06	42.7	–
Nathan Trott Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	42.5	−11.9
Ryan Wintle Midfielder	90	0	0	–	41.1	−0.7
Callum Robinson Forward	56	0	0	0.06	38.4	−9.1
Yousef Salech Forward	34	0	0	–	37.7	–
Cian Ashford Midfielder	90	0	0	–	34.4	−8.7
William Fish Defender	1	0	0	–	0.0	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Pedro Neto Midfielder	24	1	0	0.05	100.0	–
Alejandro Garnacho Forward	45	2	0	0.90	94.2	+41.9
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	60.9	+2.3
Filip Jørgensen Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	60.2	+20.7
João Pedro Forward	45	0	1	0.79	54.7	+0.6
Facundo Buonanotte Midfielder	66	0	1	0.06	53.6	+4.4
Josh Acheampong Defender	84	0	0	0.08	53.2	−9.1
Benoît Badiashile Defender	90	0	0	0.05	51.2	−5.2
Marc Guiu Forward	45	0	0	0.08	47.7	+0.2
Andrey Santos Midfielder	90	0	1	0.01	43.0	−8.5
Jorrel Hato Defender	90	0	0	0.11	40.4	−11.2
Tyrique George Forward	45	0	0	0.13	39.1	−14.9
Jamie Gittens Midfielder	66	0	0	0.07	37.8	−21.2
Tosin Adarabioyo Defender	90	0	0	–	34.9	−26.1
Malo Gusto Defender	24	0	0	–	25.3	–
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	13	0	0	–	15.1	–