FA Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 10 Jan 2026

Newcastle United 2–2 Bournemouth

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 22% · Chances everywhere: 19.5 xG · Standout: Anthony Gordon scored 89.6

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 61%.

Newcastle United deserved more from the draw, creating 10.2 xG to 9.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Anthony Gordon, 89.6 in 51′.

Well above their usual level: Álex Jiménez +37.2, Anthony Gordon +37.0, Marcus Tavernier +30.8.

Well below it: Kieran Trippier −29.1, Joe Willock −16.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Jan 2026	W 4–3	v Leeds United Premier League
4 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v Crystal Palace Premier League
30 Dec 2025	W 3–1	at Burnley Premier League
26 Dec 2025	L 0–1	at Manchester United Premier League
20 Dec 2025	D 2–2	v Chelsea Premier League

7 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
3 Jan 2026	L 2–3	v Arsenal Premier League
30 Dec 2025	D 2–2	at Chelsea Premier League
27 Dec 2025	L 1–4	at Brentford Premier League
20 Dec 2025	D 1–1	v Burnley Premier League

21 Sep 2025	Bournemouth 0–0 Newcastle United Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Anthony Gordon Forward	51	1	1	1.90	89.6	+37.0
Lewis Hall Defender	61	0	0	0.80	77.0	+19.5
Bruno Guimarães Midfielder	41	0	0	0.78	71.7	–
Harvey Barnes Forward	120	2	0	1.41	67.7	+11.2
Malick Thiaw Defender	120	0	0	0.76	62.8	+4.1
Sven Botman Defender	120	0	0	0.82	60.8	+7.7
Aaron Ramsdale Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	58.5	+7.6
Joelinton Midfielder	50	0	0	0.79	57.8	+6.4
Tino Livramento Defender	59	0	0	–	56.9	+9.5
Sandro Tonali Midfielder	120	0	0	0.81	56.6	+4.7
Lewis Miley Midfielder	51	0	0	0.76	55.0	−4.9
Jacob Ramsey Midfielder	79	0	0	–	51.8	+0.8
Nick Woltemade Forward	120	0	1	0.76	47.7	−3.9
Yoane Wissa Forward	69	0	0	0.52	42.6	−6.6
Joe Willock Midfielder	70	0	0	0.11	35.8	−16.7
Kieran Trippier Defender	69	0	0	–	28.5	−29.1

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Álex Jiménez Defender	49	0	1	0.87	87.5	+37.2
Marcus Tavernier Midfielder	49	1	0	0.93	78.4	+30.8
David Brooks Midfielder	71	1	0	0.11	75.3	+14.6
Evanilson Forward	92	0	1	1.44	71.4	+22.3
Adrien Truffert Defender	37	0	0	0.76	68.5	–
Marcos Senesi Defender	30	0	0	0.76	64.4	–
Alex Scott Midfielder	112	1	0	1.13	61.7	+12.0
Amine Adli Midfielder	71	0	0	–	61.2	+11.1
Bafodé Diakité Defender	120	0	0	0.76	56.6	+7.6
Lewis Cook Midfielder	120	0	0	0.76	56.0	+5.6
James Hill Defender	120	0	0	0.76	53.7	−2.3
Eli Junior Kroupi Forward	90	0	0	0.16	53.0	−1.0
Enes Ünal Forward	28	0	0	0.02	51.9	–
Julio Soler Defender	83	0	0	0.04	45.9	–
Đorđe Petrović Goalkeeper	120	0	0	–	45.8	+2.0
Adam Smith Defender	120	0	0	0.76	41.7	+1.4
Remy Rees-Dottin Forward	8	0	0	–	32.0	–