FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Copa del Rey 25/26, Round of 16 · 14 Jan 2026

Albacete Balompié 3–2 Real Madrid

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.7 – 2.7
Actual xG
0.1 – 1.7
Goals
3 – 2

Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 58%.

Albacete Balompié won although Real Madrid made the better chances (1.7 xG to 0.1): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Dean Huijsen, 65.1 in 65′.

Well above their usual level: Fran García +20.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Albacete Balompié

17 Dec 2025D 2–2v Celta Vigo Copa del Rey
4 Dec 2025W 2–1at Leganés Copa del Rey
28 Oct 2025W 3–0at UD San Fernando Copa del Rey

Real Madrid

4 Jan 2026W 5–1v Real Betis LaLiga
20 Dec 2025W 2–0v Sevilla LaLiga
17 Dec 2025W 3–2at CF Talavera Copa del Rey
14 Dec 2025W 2–1at Deportivo Alavés LaLiga
10 Dec 2025L 1–2v Manchester City Champions League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Albacete Balompié

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jonathan Gómez Defender16000.0144.8–
Riki Rodríguez Midfielder32000.0740.8–
Dani Escriche Forward5800–37.0–

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
César Palacios Midfielder1300–79.0–
Manuel Ángel Morán Midfielder400–72.0–
Dean Huijsen Defender65000.1165.1+4.7
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder2500–64.4–
Fran García Defender6500–62.7+20.1
Arda Güler Midfielder90010.1955.4−4.6
Gonzalo García Forward90100.2553.3−0.2
David Alaba Defender2500–53.0–
Franco Mastantuono Forward77100.7953.0−2.4
Federico Valverde Midfielder90000.0847.9−4.5
Vinícius Júnior Forward90000.0946.7−7.0
Raúl Asencio Defender9000–45.3−3.4
Jorge Cestero Midfielder86000.1944.2–
David Jiménez Defender7700–43.2–
Andriy Lunin Goalkeeper9000–34.1–
Dani Carvajal Defender1300–1.8–