Wales 1–1 Northern Ireland
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.1 – 1.0
- Actual xG
- 1.3 – 2.0
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Wales favourites at 62%.
Northern Ireland deserved more from the draw, creating 2.0 xG to 1.3.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jamie Donley, 69.3 in 64′.
Well above their usual level: Jamie Donley +35.1, Justin Devenny +22.4, Jay DaSilva +17.3.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Wales
| 26 Mar 2026 | D 1–1 | v Bosnia & Herzegovina |
| 18 Nov 2025 | W 7–1 | v North Macedonia |
| 15 Nov 2025 | W 1–0 | at Liechtenstein |
| 13 Oct 2025 | L 2–4 | v Belgium |
| 9 Oct 2025 | L 0–3 | at England |
Northern Ireland
| 26 Mar 2026 | L 0–2 | at Italy |
| 17 Nov 2025 | W 1–0 | v Luxembourg |
| 14 Nov 2025 | L 0–1 | at Slovakia |
| 13 Oct 2025 | L 0–1 | v Germany |
| 10 Oct 2025 | W 2–0 | v Slovakia |
Head to head
No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.
Wales
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rhys Norrington-Davies | 2 | 100.0 | – |
| Dylan Lawlor | 26 | 73.6 | – |
| Ethan Ampadu | 19 | 73.4 | – |
| Daniel James | 45 | 58.7 | +16.8 |
| Jay DaSilva | 88 | 56.9 | +17.3 |
| Sorba Thomas | 71 | 56.6 | +16.9 |
| David Brooks | 90 | 55.8 | −4.3 |
| Harry Wilson | 90 | 55.3 | +1.1 |
| Joe Rodon | 90 | 53.2 | +1.0 |
| Karl Darlow | 90 | 51.7 | +0.1 |
| Lewis Koumas | 64 | 48.8 | +8.4 |
| Josh Sheehan | 90 | 47.1 | – |
| Neco Williams | 90 | 45.1 | −6.0 |
| Joel Colwill | 45 | 42.2 | −6.6 |
| Brennan Johnson | 19 | 41.7 | – |
| Nathan Broadhead | 26 | 40.8 | – |
| Ben Cabango | 45 | 39.8 | −4.9 |
Northern Ireland
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Smyth | 10 | 100.0 | – |
| Jamie Donley | 64 | 69.3 | +35.1 |
| Justin Devenny | 90 | 65.3 | +22.4 |
| Tom Atcheson | 10 | 58.5 | – |
| Trai Hume | 90 | 53.5 | +9.0 |
| Brodie Spencer | 26 | 52.1 | – |
| Patrick Kelly | 64 | 51.3 | +6.4 |
| Ciaron Brown | 64 | 50.9 | +5.5 |
| Eoin Toal | 90 | 46.8 | – |
| Isaac Price | 45 | 46.0 | +5.8 |
| Bradley Lyons | 26 | 45.0 | – |
| Pierce Charles | 45 | 42.9 | −7.0 |
| Ethan Galbraith | 80 | 42.6 | +3.1 |
| Callum Marshall | 45 | 42.3 | – |
| George Saville | 45 | 42.0 | – |
| Conor Hazard | 45 | 40.4 | – |
| Jamie Reid | 26 | 37.9 | – |
| Terry Devlin | 80 | 37.9 | −5.5 |
| Shea Charles | 45 | 37.6 | −6.9 |