FOOTYBOT
Matchday

FA Cup 25/26, Quarterfinals · 4 Apr 2026

Southampton 2–1 Arsenal

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Mar 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
0.8 – 2.0
Actual xG
0.7 – 1.6
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 65%.

Southampton won although Arsenal made the better chances (1.6 xG to 0.7): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Martin Ødegaard, 67.6 in 61′.

Well above their usual level: Martin Ødegaard +18.0, Ross Stewart +11.2, Caspar Jander +9.5.

Well below it: Gabriel Jesus −10.0, Kepa Arrizabalaga −10.0, Taylor Harwood-Bellis −9.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Southampton

21 Mar 2026W 2–0v Oxford United Championship
18 Mar 2026W 1–0v Norwich City Championship
14 Mar 2026W 2–1at Coventry City Championship
11 Mar 2026D 1–1at West Bromwich Albion Championship
8 Mar 2026W 1–0at Fulham FA Cup

Arsenal

22 Mar 2026L 0–2v Manchester City EFL Cup
17 Mar 2026W 2–0v Bayer 04 Leverkusen Champions League
14 Mar 2026W 2–0v Everton Premier League
11 Mar 2026D 1–1at Bayer 04 Leverkusen Champions League
7 Mar 2026W 2–1at Mansfield Town FA Cup

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Southampton

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Shea Charles Midfielder14100.17100.0–
Daniel Peretz Goalkeeper9000–63.9+9.2
Cyle Larin Forward2000–59.5–
Ross Stewart Forward70100.2658.2+11.2
Caspar Jander Midfielder9000–49.1+9.5
Leo Scienza Midfielder71000.0347.0+1.6
Nathan Wood Defender9000–46.9+0.9
Finn Azaz Midfielder90000.0644.8+1.1
Tom Fellows Midfielder90010.2244.3+2.6
Ryan Manning Midfielder8900–43.7+1.2
Cameron Bragg Midfielder7600–43.6−1.8
Samuel Edozie Midfielder1900–41.2–
James Bree Defender9001–40.0+1.3
Taylor Harwood-Bellis Defender9000–39.6−9.5
Joshua Quarshie Defender100–31.5–

Arsenal

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Viktor Gyökeres Forward30100.2781.2–
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder61000.2467.6+18.0
Gabriel Martinelli Forward90000.2958.6+7.8
Christian Nørgaard Midfielder90000.0653.1+6.2
Noni Madueke Forward29000.0351.6–
Max Dowman Midfielder90000.4851.6–
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder1100–50.5–
William Saliba Defender1800–49.2–
Gabriel Magalhães Defender72000.0348.2−7.2
Cristhian Mosquera Defender9000–47.5−7.1
Myles Lewis-Skelly Defender6000–46.1+2.0
Riccardo Calafiori Defender30000.0445.2–
Ben White Defender9000–44.4−1.6
Gabriel Jesus Forward60000.1842.1−10.0
Kai Havertz Forward79010.0241.1−7.9
Kepa Arrizabalaga Goalkeeper9000–40.2−10.0