FA Cup 25/26, Round 5 · 7 Mar 2026

Mansfield Town 1–2 Arsenal

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 77%.

Arsenal won a close one on the chances: 2.4 xG to 2.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Will Evans, 80.9 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Will Evans +36.6, Jon Russell +24.2, Frazer Blake-Tracy +22.1.

Well below it: Gabriel Martinelli −14.1, Gabriel Jesus −12.0, Louis Reed −11.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Mar 2026	W 1–0	at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
1 Mar 2026	W 2–1	v Chelsea Premier League
22 Feb 2026	W 4–1	at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
18 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at Wolverhampton Premier League
15 Feb 2026	W 4–0	v Wigan Athletic FA Cup

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Will Evans Forward	45	1	0.51	80.9	+36.6
Oliver Irow Forward	9	0	0.22	76.2	–
Stephen McLaughlin Defender	81	0	–	74.4	–
Jon Russell Midfielder	90	0	–	64.4	+24.2
Tyler Roberts Forward	45	0	0.73	61.1	–
Frazer Blake-Tracy Defender	90	0	0.18	60.9	+22.1
Rhys Oates Forward	81	0	0.20	60.3	+2.1
Aaron Lewis Midfielder	28	0	0.16	55.4	–
George Abbott Midfielder	62	0	–	50.9	+4.4
Liam Roberts Goalkeeper	90	0	–	50.4	−0.7
Louis Reed Midfielder	90	0	0.16	45.2	−11.4
Lucas Akins Midfielder	90	0	0.13	44.5	–
Adedeji Oshilaja Defender	90	0	–	42.9	–
Victor Adeboyejo Forward	9	0	–	39.1	–
Elliott Hewitt Defender	10	0	–	37.2	–
Kyle Knoyle Defender	87	0	–	34.7	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Eberechi Eze Midfielder	28	1	0	0.14	65.9	–
Bukayo Saka Forward	13	0	0	0.21	64.2	–
Noni Madueke Forward	90	1	0	0.33	59.3	+7.7
Kepa Arrizabalaga Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.6	+6.6
Cristhian Mosquera Defender	90	0	0	0.03	57.1	+6.1
Leandro Trossard Forward	38	0	0	0.04	51.9	–
Max Dowman Midfielder	77	0	0	0.85	49.6	–
Christian Nørgaard Midfielder	90	0	1	–	46.5	+0.8
Riccardo Calafiori Defender	76	0	0	0.11	46.3	−9.5
Kai Havertz Forward	62	0	0	–	43.6	−4.9
Marli Salmon Defender	62	0	0	–	43.2	–
Piero Hincapié Defender	52	0	0	–	42.8	−10.8
Gabriel Jesus Forward	90	0	0	0.66	42.1	−12.0
Gabriel Martinelli Forward	90	0	1	0.07	40.4	−14.1
Jurriën Timber Defender	28	0	0	–	36.4	–
Jaden Dixon Defender	14	0	0	–	31.6	–