Matchday

FA Cup 25/26, Round 4 · 14 Feb 2026

Burnley 1–2 Mansfield Town

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.0 – 0.9
Actual xG
2.7 – 0.6
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made Burnley favourites at 62%.

Mansfield Town won although Burnley made the better chances (2.7 xG to 0.6): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rhys Oates, 56.2 in 84′.

Well below it: Loum Tchaouna −15.4, James Ward-Prowse −14.8, Maxime Estève −12.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Burnley

11 Feb 2026W 3–2at Crystal Palace Premier League
7 Feb 2026L 0–2v West Ham United Premier League
2 Feb 2026L 0–3at Sunderland Premier League
24 Jan 2026D 2–2v Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
17 Jan 2026D 1–1at Liverpool FC Premier League

Mansfield Town

11 Jan 2026W 4–3at Sheffield United FA Cup
6 Dec 2025D 1–1at Accrington Stanley FA Cup
1 Nov 2025W 3–2v Harrogate Town FA Cup
27 Aug 2025L 0–2at Everton EFL Cup
12 Aug 2025W 2–0at Chesterfield EFL Cup

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Burnley

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Zian Flemming Forward9000.3855.1–
Lesley Ugochukwu Midfielder9000.1152.3–
Maxime Estève Defender9000–42.7−12.8
Ashley Barnes Midfielder81000.5342.2–
Lucas Pires Defender100–42.0–
James Ward-Prowse Midfielder89000.0440.8−14.8
Lyle Foster Forward90010.1339.5−8.5
Max Weiss Goalkeeper9000–38.7−10.4
Josh Laurent Midfielder90100.5438.5−6.0
Hjalmar Ekdal Defender90000.0137.7−11.8
Florentino Luís Midfielder8100–37.7−8.7
Jacob Bruun Larsen Forward66000.2936.5−11.9
Hannibal Mejbri Midfielder2400–33.6–
Quilindschy Hartman Defender90000.1331.1−12.1
Marcus Edwards Forward24000.2629.6–
Loum Tchaouna Midfielder66000.3325.8−15.4

Mansfield Town

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Rhys Oates Forward84100.2256.2–
Liam Roberts Goalkeeper9000–52.5+1.9
Lucas Akins Midfielder90000.0648.9–
Louis Reed Midfielder90100.1048.1–
Regan Hendry Midfielder3000–47.0–
Aaron Lewis Midfielder90000.0646.5–
Kyle Knoyle Defender8301–45.1–
Adedeji Oshilaja Defender9000–45.1–
Frazer Blake-Tracy Defender9000–42.9+5.7
Stephen McLaughlin Defender90000.0341.5–
Will Evans Forward84000.1341.5−3.9
Elliott Hewitt Defender1200–39.6–
Jon Russell Midfielder6000–38.1−2.3
Victor Adeboyejo Forward1100–31.5–
Luke Bolton Midfielder1100–30.1–