UEFA Champions League 25/26, Round of 16 · 11 Mar 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Arsenal

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Arsenal favourites at 44%.

Arsenal deserved more from the draw, creating 1.6 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Alejandro Grimaldo, 71.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Exequiel Palacios +16.4, Aleix García +11.7, Alejandro Grimaldo +11.4.

Well below it: Piero Hincapié −21.6, Bukayo Saka −18.4, Declan Rice −10.3.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Mar 2026	D 3–3	at SC Freiburg Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026	W 1–0	at Hamburger SV Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
24 Feb 2026	D 0–0	v Olympiacos FC Champions League
21 Feb 2026	L 0–1	at 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga

4 Mar 2026	W 1–0	at Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
1 Mar 2026	W 2–1	v Chelsea Premier League
22 Feb 2026	W 4–1	at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
18 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at Wolverhampton Premier League
12 Feb 2026	D 1–1	at Brentford Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Alejandro Grimaldo Midfielder	90	0	1	–	71.4	+11.4
Aleix García Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	65.9	+11.7
Exequiel Palacios Midfielder	82	0	0	–	65.9	+16.4
Robert Andrich Defender	90	1	0	0.35	56.9	+9.5
Christian Kofane Forward	90	0	0	0.13	56.3	+7.2
Ezequiel Fernández Midfielder	8	0	0	–	54.5	–
Malik Tillman Midfielder	16	0	0	–	53.6	–
Martin Terrier Forward	82	0	0	0.07	50.8	−1.2
Ibrahim Maza Forward	74	0	0	0.17	49.4	−3.7
Janis Blaswich Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.3	−5.5
Edmond Tapsoba Defender	90	0	0	–	47.1	−9.1
Ernest Poku Forward	90	0	0	–	44.5	−5.6
Jonas Hofmann Forward	8	0	0	–	41.7	–
Jarell Quansah Defender	90	0	0	0.09	37.9	−10.2

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Kai Havertz Forward	16	1	0.79	100.0	–
Gabriel Martinelli Forward	90	0	0.35	64.7	+10.7
Noni Madueke Forward	30	0	–	64.5	–
Eberechi Eze Midfielder	82	0	–	55.0	+5.1
William Saliba Defender	90	0	–	54.7	+0.3
Declan Rice Midfielder	90	0	–	53.3	−10.3
Gabriel Magalhães Defender	90	0	–	50.1	−7.3
Jurriën Timber Defender	90	0	0.44	49.3	−1.0
David Raya Goalkeeper	90	0	–	46.7	−2.7
Viktor Gyökeres Forward	74	0	–	46.7	−4.6
Martín Zubimendi Midfielder	90	0	–	46.4	−3.6
Bukayo Saka Forward	60	0	0.02	42.6	−18.4
Gabriel Jesus Forward	8	0	–	38.1	–
Piero Hincapié Defender	90	0	0.05	32.7	−21.6