FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 22 Feb 2026

1. FC Heidenheim 3–3 VfB Stuttgart

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.4 – 1.6
Actual xG
2.3 – 2.2
Goals
3 – 3

Footybot made VfB Stuttgart favourites at 42%.

A draw the chances agree with: 2.3 xG to 2.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Chris Führich, 68.9 in 66′.

Well above their usual level: Chris Führich +14.3.

Well below it: Ermedin Demirović −13.3, Alexander Nübel −12.7, Marvin Pieringer −10.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

1. FC Heidenheim

15 Feb 2026L 0–1at FC Augsburg Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026L 0–2v Hamburger SV Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026L 2–3at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
24 Jan 2026L 0–3v RB Leipzig Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026D 1–1at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

19 Feb 2026W 4–1at Celtic Europa League
14 Feb 2026W 3–1v 1. FC Köln Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026L 1–2at FC St. Pauli Bundesliga
1 Feb 2026W 1–0v SC Freiburg Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026W 3–2v BSC Young Boys Europa League

Head to head

5 Oct 2025VfB Stuttgart 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga

1. FC Heidenheim

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Sirlord Conteh Forward26100.5374.1–
Arijon Ibrahimović Midfielder90101.1857.0+3.8
Adam Kölle Defender15000.2256.9–
Patrick Mainka Defender90000.0756.1−2.7
Stefan Schimmer Forward25000.0351.4–
Eren Dinkçi Forward90100.2249.0+4.8
Benedikt Gimber Defender9000–47.2−0.3
Diant Ramaj Goalkeeper9000–46.1−3.4
Niklas Dorsch Midfielder1500–45.6–
Hennes Behrens Defender9000–43.9−8.3
Julian Niehues Midfielder7500–39.5−7.1
Christian Conteh Forward6400–39.2–
Marvin Pieringer Forward6500–38.3−10.2
Jan Schöppner Midfielder2400–37.5–
Tim Siersleben Defender7500–35.6−9.2
Omar Haktab Traore Defender6600–30.8−7.2

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Atakan Karazor Midfielder1200–80.4–
Jamie Leweling Midfielder2400–73.1–
Chris Führich Midfielder66100.6068.9+14.3
Deniz Undav Forward38100.6666.5–
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender90100.8161.7+7.0
Nikolas Nartey Midfielder2401–57.1–
Bilal El Khannouss Midfielder66000.1054.5−1.8
Jeff Chabot Defender90000.0251.6−5.3
Chema Andrés Midfielder9000–51.2−1.9
Ramon Hendriks Defender9000–45.5−2.6
Angelo Stiller Midfielder7800–45.1−2.0
Tiago Tomás Forward5200–43.0−7.9
Lorenz Assignon Defender7800–41.6−5.9
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper9000–39.1−12.7
Ermedin Demirović Forward90000.0337.4−13.3
Josha Vagnoman Defender1200–10.1–