FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 7 Feb 2026

FC St. Pauli 2–1 VfB Stuttgart

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.1 – 1.3
Actual xG
1.8 – 0.9
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made VfB Stuttgart favourites at 41%.

FC St. Pauli won and made the better chances: 1.8 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Jamie Leweling, 62.1 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Jamie Leweling +11.6, Finn Jeltsch +10.6, Arkadiusz Pyrka +9.6.

Well below it: Mathias Rasmussen −15.4, Bilal El Khannouss −14.0, Adam Dźwigała −11.9.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

FC St. Pauli

31 Jan 2026L 1–2at FC Augsburg Bundesliga
27 Jan 2026D 1–1v RB Leipzig Bundesliga
23 Jan 2026D 0–0v Hamburger SV Bundesliga
17 Jan 2026L 2–3at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
14 Jan 2026L 1–2at VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga

VfB Stuttgart

1 Feb 2026W 1–0v SC Freiburg Bundesliga
29 Jan 2026W 3–2v BSC Young Boys Europa League
25 Jan 2026W 3–0at Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga
22 Jan 2026L 0–2at AS Roma Europa League
18 Jan 2026D 1–1v 1. FC Union Berlin Bundesliga

Head to head

19 Sep 2025VfB Stuttgart 2–0 FC St. Pauli Bundesliga

FC St. Pauli

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Lars Ritzka Defender100–100.0–
Danel Sinani Forward90100.8859.5+5.0
Nikola Vasilj Goalkeeper9000–52.6+2.4
Arkadiusz Pyrka Midfielder89010.1052.4+9.6
James Sands Midfielder90000.3649.9+6.2
Manolis Saliakas Midfielder90100.1349.7+6.6
Jackson Irvine Midfielder90000.0846.9−1.2
Karol Mets Defender90000.0144.4−3.8
Tomoya Ando Defender9000–43.7–
Martijn Kaars Forward89000.1941.1−4.1
Mathias Rasmussen Midfielder90000.0338.3−15.4
Adam Dźwigała Defender9000–37.6−11.9
Taichi Hara Forward100–0.0–

VfB Stuttgart

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Chema Andrés Midfielder12000.0374.8–
Jamie Leweling Midfielder45100.0462.1+11.6
Jeremy Arevalo Forward12010.0960.7–
Finn Jeltsch Defender9000–60.4+10.6
Maximilian Mittelstädt Defender9000–59.8+4.7
Lorenz Assignon Defender21000.0957.6–
Chris Führich Midfielder69000.2251.9−4.0
Alexander Nübel Goalkeeper9000–51.4+0.9
Ramon Hendriks Defender9000–47.7−3.2
Josha Vagnoman Defender6900–47.1+5.3
Angelo Stiller Midfielder9000–45.4−3.6
Deniz Undav Forward90000.4145.4−7.2
Ermedin Demirović Forward8500–44.7−8.0
Atakan Karazor Midfielder8500–43.6−4.0
Bilal El Khannouss Midfielder4500–42.1−14.0
Badredine Bouanani Midfielder2100–16.6–