Matchday

Brasileiro Serie A 2026 · 25 Feb 2026

Coritiba 0–1 São Paulo

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.3 – 1.1
Actual xG
0.9 – 1.3
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Coritiba favourites at 40%.

São Paulo won a close one on the chances: 1.3 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Cauly, 68.3 in 83′.

Well above their usual level: Cauly +25.1, Lucas Ronier +12.6.

Well below it: Wendell −22.9, Felipe Jonatan −14.4, Maik −8.1.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Coritiba

11 Feb 2026D 3–3at Chapecoense Brasileirão Série A
6 Feb 2026W 2–1at Cruzeiro Brasileirão Série A
28 Jan 2026L 0–1v Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A

São Paulo

12 Feb 2026W 2–0v Grêmio Brasileirão Série A
4 Feb 2026D 1–1at Santos Brasileirão Série A
29 Jan 2026W 2–1v Flamengo Brasileirão Série A
7 Dec 2025L 0–1at Vitória Brasileirão Série A
3 Dec 2025W 3–0v Internacional Brasileirão Série A

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Coritiba

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Fabinho Forward21000.0261.6–
Pedro Morisco Goalkeeper5600–59.6+2.1
Lucas Ronier Midfielder90000.2257.7+12.6
Willian Oliveira Midfielder21000.0250.4–
Josué Midfielder69000.0148.3–
Breno Lopes Midfielder9000–44.9−7.3
Pedro Rangel Goalkeeper3400–41.3–
Pedro Rocha Forward90000.4141.1−4.9
Jacy Maranhão Defender90000.0240.8–
Vini Paulista Midfielder69000.0139.8–
Wallisson Luiz Midfielder69000.0139.2–
Maicon Defender9000–38.5−0.5
João Pedro Chermont Defender5700–37.8–
Felipe Jonatan Defender90000.1034.3−14.4
Joaquín Lavega Midfielder21000.0334.0–
Tinga Defender3300–26.9–

São Paulo

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Cauly Midfielder83100.9168.3+25.1
Rafael Goalkeeper9000–57.2+4.4
Jonathan Calleri Forward2600–53.2–
Ferreirinha Midfielder64000.0550.4+3.6
Rafael Tolói Defender90000.0550.4+1.7
Luan Santos Midfielder1500–49.3–
Djhordney Midfielder4500–48.3–
Robert Arboleda Defender90000.0247.9−3.7
Marcos Antônio Midfielder4500–47.4+1.2
Pablo Maia Midfielder75000.0345.3+1.6
Gonzalo Tapia Forward65000.2541.2−2.6
Alan Javier Franco Defender9000–40.1−6.0
Lucas Moura Forward2500–36.2–
Damián Bobadilla Midfielder1700–35.5–
Maik Defender9000–34.0−8.1
Wendell Defender90000.0227.0−22.9