Bournemouth 1–1 Manchester City
Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Chances everywhere: 3.8 xG · Standout: Lewis Cook scored 85.2
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 1.7 – 1.4
- Actual xG
- 2.2 – 1.5
- Goals
- 1 – 1
Footybot made Bournemouth favourites at 45%.
Bournemouth deserved more from the draw, creating 2.2 xG to 1.5.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Matheus Nunes, 70.5 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Matheus Nunes +13.1, Erling Haaland +12.4, Nico O'Reilly +9.1.
Well below it: Jérémy Doku −27.7, Marc Guéhi −20.2, James Hill −18.0.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Bournemouth
| 9 May 2026 | W 1–0 | at Fulham |
| 3 May 2026 | W 3–0 | v Crystal Palace |
| 22 Apr 2026 | D 2–2 | v Leeds United |
| 18 Apr 2026 | W 2–1 | at Newcastle United |
| 11 Apr 2026 | W 2–1 | at Arsenal |
Manchester City
| 13 May 2026 | W 3–0 | v Crystal Palace |
| 9 May 2026 | W 3–0 | v Brentford |
| 4 May 2026 | D 3–3 | at Everton |
| 22 Apr 2026 | W 1–0 | at Burnley |
| 19 Apr 2026 | W 2–1 | v Arsenal |
Head to head
| 2 Nov 2025 | Manchester City 3–1 Bournemouth |
Bournemouth
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis Cook | 1 | 85.2 | – |
| David Brooks | 13 | 78.4 | – |
| Enes Ünal | 8 | 75.7 | – |
| Marcus Tavernier | 90 | 67.9 | +6.4 |
| Eli Junior Kroupi | 76 | 57.0 | +2.6 |
| Evanilson | 89 | 54.6 | +7.3 |
| Alex Scott | 90 | 53.6 | −4.6 |
| Đorđe Petrović | 90 | 50.3 | −1.9 |
| Adrien Truffert | 90 | 49.3 | −8.5 |
| Rayan | 84 | 46.2 | −7.3 |
| Tyler Adams | 90 | 45.5 | −6.6 |
| Marcos Senesi | 90 | 45.2 | −9.2 |
| James Hill | 90 | 43.0 | −18.0 |
| Justin Kluivert | 14 | 36.0 | – |
| Adam Smith | 89 | 33.4 | −10.7 |
Manchester City
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus Nunes | 90 | 70.5 | +13.1 |
| Rodri | 90 | 67.0 | +4.8 |
| Erling Haaland | 90 | 66.4 | +12.4 |
| Nico O'Reilly | 90 | 64.4 | +9.1 |
| Phil Foden | 34 | 62.5 | – |
| Sávio | 34 | 62.3 | – |
| Antoine Semenyo | 56 | 60.3 | +8.3 |
| Mateo Kovačić | 56 | 56.7 | – |
| Bernardo Silva | 56 | 56.2 | −4.2 |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | 90 | 55.3 | −6.7 |
| Omar Marmoush | 14 | 50.5 | – |
| Rayan Cherki | 34 | 48.6 | – |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | 90 | 47.3 | −5.0 |
| Marc Guéhi | 90 | 45.5 | −20.2 |
| Jérémy Doku | 76 | 45.4 | −27.7 |