UEFA Champions League 26/27 · 14 Oct 2026

Manchester City 2–4 Paris Saint-Germain

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 22% · Chances everywhere: 4.4 xG · Standout: Ferran Torres scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.9 – 1.1
Actual xG: 2.6 – 1.8
Goals: 2 – 4

Footybot made Manchester City favourites at 56%.

Paris Saint-Germain won although Manchester City made the better chances (2.6 xG to 1.8): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Désiré Doué, 84.4 in 66′.

Well above their usual level: Iliman Ndiaye +29.8, Ayyoub Bouaddi +22.8, Désiré Doué +18.9.

Well below it: Gianluigi Donnarumma −39.0, Rayan Cherki −21.9, Rúben Dias −20.6.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Manchester City

11 Oct 2026	W 3–0	at Liverpool FC Premier League
20 Sep 2026	W 5–3	v Sunderland Premier League
17 Sep 2026	W 5–0	v Norwich City EFL Cup
13 Sep 2026	W 1–0	at Manchester United Premier League
8 Sep 2026	W 2–0	at FC Porto Champions League

Paris Saint-Germain

10 Oct 2026	W 3–1	v Le Mans Ligue 1
20 Sep 2026	W 2–1	at Olympique de Marseille Ligue 1
13 Sep 2026	W 1–0	at Stade Brestois Ligue 1
9 Sep 2026	W 6–1	v ŠK Slovan Bratislava Champions League
4 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v AS Monaco Ligue 1

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Manchester City

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Iliman Ndiaye Midfielder	45	0	1	0.32	81.3	+29.8
Jérémy Doku Midfielder	45	0	0	0.09	77.7	+5.6
Erling Haaland Forward	90	2	0	0.86	75.5	+13.7
Ayyoub Bouaddi Midfielder	45	0	1	–	73.6	+22.8
Joško Gvardiol Defender	90	0	0	0.53	73.1	+17.5
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	89	0	0	0.25	72.2	+12.0
Antoine Semenyo Midfielder	90	0	0	0.45	67.3	+9.2
Elliot Anderson Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	62.9	−2.1
Marc Guéhi Defender	90	0	0	–	59.1	−8.2
Matheus Nunes Defender	45	0	0	–	58.2	−0.4
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender	90	0	0	–	53.1	−7.9
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	45	0	0	–	51.8	−21.9
Rúben Dias Defender	45	0	0	–	38.7	−20.6
Nico O'Reilly Defender	1	0	0	–	30.2	–
Gianluigi Donnarumma Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	16.6	−39.0

Paris Saint-Germain

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ferran Torres Forward	14	0	0	0.79	100.0	–
Lucas Hernández Defender	11	0	0	–	100.0	–
Lucas Beraldo Defender	11	0	0	–	87.8	–
Désiré Doué Forward	66	1	1	0.02	84.4	+18.9
Nuno Mendes Defender	90	0	0	0.03	75.5	+15.5
Willian Pacho Defender	90	0	0	–	72.5	+16.9
Vitinha Midfielder	90	1	0	0.20	71.4	+6.8
João Neves Midfielder	14	0	0	–	71.3	–
Maghnes Akliouche Midfielder	76	1	0	0.05	68.7	+12.0
Ousmane Dembélé Forward	76	1	1	0.19	68.5	−0.8
Marquinhos Defender	90	0	0	–	64.0	+8.1
Fabián Ruiz Midfielder	84	0	1	0.03	56.7	+0.4
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Forward	24	0	0	0.06	56.2	–
Achraf Hakimi Defender	90	0	0	0.32	55.1	−2.8
Warren Zaïre-Emery Midfielder	84	0	1	0.13	52.9	+1.1
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.0	−8.8