UEFA Champions League 25/26, Playoff round · 25 Feb 2026

Real Madrid 2–1 Benfica

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 56%.

Real Madrid won although Benfica made the better chances (1.6 xG to 1.0): a result the chances didn't back.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Andreas Schjelderup, 76.0 in 85′.

Well above their usual level: Andreas Schjelderup +20.2, Rafa Silva +11.7.

Well below it: Anatoliy Trubin −8.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

21 Feb 2026	W 3–0	v AVS - Futebol SAD Liga Portugal
17 Feb 2026	L 0–1	v Real Madrid Champions League
13 Feb 2026	W 2–1	at Santa Clara Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v FC Alverca Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026	D 0–0	at Tondela Liga Portugal

17 Feb 2026	Benfica 0–1 Real Madrid Champions League
28 Jan 2026	Benfica 4–2 Real Madrid Champions League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Franco Mastantuono Forward	13	0	0	–	78.5	–
Vinícius Júnior Forward	90	1	0	0.34	61.3	+4.0
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder	90	1	0	0.19	58.7	+5.9
Arda Güler Midfielder	84	0	0	0.07	57.3	−0.8
Federico Valverde Midfielder	90	0	2	0.25	57.2	−0.8
David Alaba Defender	13	0	0	–	56.9	–
Álvaro Carreras Defender	89	0	0	0.03	56.8	+2.6
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder	77	0	0	0.03	56.7	+5.2
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	55.6	+5.6
Trent Alexander-Arnold Defender	90	0	0	0.04	52.8	−1.9
Thiago Pitarch Midfielder	16	0	0	–	48.0	–
Raúl Asencio Defender	77	0	0	0.02	47.3	−1.5
Antonio Rüdiger Defender	90	0	0	–	43.8	−3.4
Gonzalo García Forward	84	0	0	–	43.1	−7.8
César Palacios Midfielder	16	0	0	–	40.9	–
Fran García Defender	9	0	0	–	40.2	–

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Andreas Schjelderup Midfielder	85	0	0.03	76.0	+20.2
Rafa Silva Midfielder	90	1	0.96	61.9	+11.7
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder	85	0	–	57.2	+1.2
Nicolás Otamendi Defender	90	0	–	53.8	+1.9
Amar Dedić Defender	90	0	–	53.6	+6.7
Richard Ríos Midfielder	90	0	0.13	53.1	+5.3
Samuel Dahl Defender	90	0	–	51.2	+8.0
Enzo Barrenechea Midfielder	15	0	–	48.9	–
Vangelis Pavlidis Forward	90	0	0.48	47.0	−6.8
Tomás Araújo Defender	90	0	–	46.2	+0.1
Leandro Barreiro Midfielder	89	0	0.03	41.9	−2.5
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper	90	0	–	40.2	−8.6
Franjo Ivanović Forward	15	0	–	37.6	–
Sidny Lopes Cabral Defender	9	0	–	32.5	–