UEFA Champions League 25/26, Playoff round · 17 Feb 2026

Benfica 0–1 Real Madrid

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Standout: Dani Carvajal scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Benfica favourites at 57%.

Real Madrid won a close one on the chances: 0.9 xG to 0.5.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Trent Alexander-Arnold, 72.3 in 90′.

Each side's last five results before this match.

13 Feb 2026	W 2–1	at Santa Clara Liga Portugal
8 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v FC Alverca Liga Portugal
1 Feb 2026	D 0–0	at Tondela Liga Portugal
28 Jan 2026	W 4–2	v Real Madrid Champions League
25 Jan 2026	W 4–0	v CF Estrela Amadora Liga Portugal

28 Jan 2026	Benfica 4–2 Real Madrid Champions League

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Anatoliy Trubin Goalkeeper	90	–	62.5	+16.1
Richard Ríos Midfielder	16	–	59.6	–
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder	80	0.02	54.7	−6.4
Tomás Araújo Defender	90	0.02	54.3	+4.9
Amar Dedić Defender	90	0.07	52.3	−0.7
Samuel Dahl Defender	90	–	47.2	−3.5
Rafa Silva Midfielder	74	0.13	46.0	−1.6
Nicolás Otamendi Defender	90	–	45.5	−10.0
Vangelis Pavlidis Forward	90	–	40.8	−20.4
Andreas Schjelderup Midfielder	74	–	40.6	−18.9
Sidny Lopes Cabral Defender	10	0.10	40.1	–
Leandro Barreiro Midfielder	90	–	39.9	−9.1
Georgiy Sudakov Midfielder	16	–	39.8	–
Gianluca Prestianni Midfielder	81	0.12	35.8	−20.3
Dodi Lukebakio Midfielder	9	–	17.4	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Dani Carvajal Defender	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Trent Alexander-Arnold Defender	90	0	0	–	72.3	+17.5
Vinícius Júnior Forward	90	1	0	0.32	70.5	+13.9
Álvaro Carreras Defender	89	0	0	–	69.2	+13.8
Dean Huijsen Defender	90	0	0	–	66.9	+11.2
Federico Valverde Midfielder	90	0	0	–	65.1	+7.4
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	60.5	+8.4
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	58.9	+7.5
Arda Güler Midfielder	86	0	0	0.15	57.4	−5.0
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder	89	0	0	–	56.7	+0.8
Antonio Rüdiger Defender	90	0	0	–	53.9	+5.8
Kylian Mbappé Forward	90	0	1	0.38	53.2	−15.0
Thiago Pitarch Midfielder	10	0	0	–	46.0	–
Brahim Díaz Midfielder	18	0	0	–	34.9	–