Matchday

UEFA Conference League 25/26, Round of 16 · 12 Mar 2026

SK Sigma Olomouc 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.6 – 1.3
Actual xG
0.2 – 0.7
Goals
0 – 0

Footybot made SK Sigma Olomouc favourites at 45%.

1. FSV Mainz 05 deserved more from the draw, creating 0.7 xG to 0.2.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Paul Nebel, 53.9 in 89′.

Well above their usual level: Paul Nebel +9.8.

Well below it: Silas −14.8, Phillipp Mwene −10.6, Kaishu Sano −8.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

SK Sigma Olomouc

26 Feb 2026W 2–1at FC Lausanne-Sport Conference League
19 Feb 2026D 1–1v FC Lausanne-Sport Conference League
18 Dec 2025L 1–2v Lech Poznań Conference League
11 Dec 2025L 1–2at Lincoln Red Imps Conference League
27 Nov 2025W 2–1v NK Celje Conference League

1. FSV Mainz 05

7 Mar 2026D 2–2v VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026D 1–1at Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga
20 Feb 2026D 1–1v Hamburger SV Bundesliga
13 Feb 2026L 0–4at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
7 Feb 2026W 2–0v FC Augsburg Bundesliga

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

SK Sigma Olomouc

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Antonín Růsek Forward75000.1445.2–
Danijel Šturm Midfielder90000.0636.9−6.7
Jiří Sláma Defender9000–33.6−4.1

1. FSV Mainz 05

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Sota Kawasaki Midfielder100–61.7–
Paul Nebel Midfielder8900–53.9+9.8
Daniel Batz Goalkeeper9000–52.8+2.4
Stefan Posch Defender9000–50.9+4.0
Kacper Potulski Defender90000.0250.5−0.6
Nelson Weiper Forward23000.2950.2–
Dominik Kohr Defender9000–49.0+4.1
William Bøving Forward6400–48.9+2.8
Danny da Costa Defender90000.3545.7+1.0
Phillip Tietz Forward8200–37.8−7.6
Kaishu Sano Midfielder9000–36.6−8.8
Phillipp Mwene Midfielder89000.0836.1−10.6
Silas Midfielder6700–32.2−14.8
Jae-sung Lee Midfielder2600–31.4–
Armindo Sieb Forward800–30.3–
Silvan Widmer Midfielder100–0.0–