UEFA Champions League 25/26, Semifinals · 6 May 2026

FC Bayern München 1–1 Paris Saint-Germain

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 19%

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Apr 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made FC Bayern München favourites at 59%.

A draw the chances agree with: 1.4 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Josip Stanišić, 78.9 in 67′.

Well above their usual level: Josip Stanišić +26.3, Manuel Neuer +18.0, Matvey Safonov +8.2.

Well below it: Michael Olise −14.2, Jonathan Tah −13.4, Dayot Upamecano −12.4.

Each side's last five results before this match.

2 May 2026	D 3–3	v 1. FC Heidenheim Bundesliga
28 Apr 2026	L 4–5	at Paris Saint-Germain Champions League
25 Apr 2026	W 4–3	at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
19 Apr 2026	W 4–2	v VfB Stuttgart Bundesliga
15 Apr 2026	W 4–3	v Real Madrid Champions League

2 May 2026	D 2–2	v Lorient Ligue 1
28 Apr 2026	W 5–4	v FC Bayern München Champions League
25 Apr 2026	W 3–0	at Angers Ligue 1
22 Apr 2026	W 3–0	v Nantes Ligue 1
19 Apr 2026	L 1–2	v Olympique Lyonnais Ligue 1

28 Apr 2026	Paris Saint-Germain 5–4 FC Bayern München Champions League
4 Nov 2025	Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 FC Bayern München Champions League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Josip Stanišić Defender	67	0	0	0.04	78.9	+26.3
Lennart Karl Midfielder	12	0	0	0.16	74.8	–
Alphonso Davies Defender	23	0	1	–	67.7	–
Luis Díaz Midfielder	90	0	0	0.19	67.5	+6.2
Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	64.0	+18.0
Kim Min-jae Defender	22	0	0	–	63.2	–
Harry Kane Forward	90	1	0	0.22	61.3	−7.3
Joshua Kimmich Midfielder	90	0	0	–	61.0	−2.2
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	57.1	−3.1
Michael Olise Midfielder	90	0	0	0.41	56.4	−14.2
Jamal Musiala Midfielder	79	0	0	0.17	52.1	−3.6
Dayot Upamecano Defender	85	0	0	–	49.2	−12.4
Konrad Laimer Defender	90	0	0	0.07	48.5	−7.1
Jonathan Tah Defender	68	0	0	0.04	42.8	−13.4
Nicolas Jackson Forward	11	0	0	0.05	40.1	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nuno Mendes Defender	85	0	0	0.03	68.0	+5.3
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Forward	90	0	1	0.34	65.4	+0.8
Senny Mayulu Midfielder	12	0	0	–	64.4	–
Matvey Safonov Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	60.0	+8.2
Vitinha Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	58.6	+0.6
Ousmane Dembélé Forward	65	1	0	0.36	58.5	−8.0
Willian Pacho Defender	90	0	0	–	57.9	+4.3
Fabián Ruiz Midfielder	76	0	0	–	54.6	−0.7
Warren Zaïre-Emery Midfielder	90	0	0	–	53.1	+0.6
Désiré Doué Forward	76	0	0	0.24	47.0	−11.4
Marquinhos Defender	90	0	0	–	43.7	−9.0
Lucas Hernández Defender	14	0	0	–	42.7	–
João Neves Midfielder	90	0	0	0.04	41.8	−12.4
Bradley Barcola Forward	25	0	0	0.04	40.9	–
Lucas Beraldo Defender	14	0	0	–	36.9	–