UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 1 Oct 2026

Wales 2–1 Norway

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Wales favourites at 45%.

Wales won a close one on the chances: 1.0 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Oscar Bobb, 78.5 in 49′.

Well above their usual level: Ben Cabango +31.1, Oscar Bobb +23.8, Sorba Thomas +22.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

27 Sep 2026	L 0–2	at Denmark UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	L 0–1	at Portugal UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2026	D 1–1	v Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup Qualification UEFA
18 Nov 2025	W 7–1	v North Macedonia World Cup Qualification UEFA
15 Nov 2025	W 1–0	at Liechtenstein World Cup Qualification UEFA

27 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Portugal UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	W 3–2	v Denmark UEFA Nations League
11 Jul 2026	D 1–1	v England World Cup 2026
5 Jul 2026	W 2–1	at Brazil World Cup 2026
30 Jun 2026	W 2–1	at Côte d'Ivoire World Cup 2026

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ben Cabango Defender	90	0	0	–	76.7	+31.1
Josh Sheehan Midfielder	15	0	0	0.19	70.3	–
Neco Williams Defender	90	1	0	0.14	65.3	+12.5
Sorba Thomas Midfielder	90	0	1	0.01	64.3	+22.6
Joel Colwill Midfielder	14	0	0	–	61.8	–
Daniel James Midfielder	76	1	0	0.51	60.6	+10.6
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder	90	0	0	0.03	58.3	+5.6
Jay DaSilva Defender	90	0	0	–	57.2	+13.1
Liam Cullen Forward	76	0	0	0.04	51.2	+8.7
Ben Davies Defender	90	0	0	0.03	50.0	−10.5
Mark Harris Forward	9	0	0	0.03	49.7	–
Danny Ward Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	48.5	−0.1
Jordan James Midfielder	75	0	0	0.07	44.9	+3.4
Brennan Johnson Forward	14	0	0	–	43.7	–
Lewis Koumas Forward	85	0	0	–	41.6	+5.0

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Antonio Nusa Forward	15	0	0	0.02	100.0	–
Oscar Bobb Midfielder	49	1	0	0.62	78.5	+23.8
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder	90	0	1	0.07	64.2	−3.2
Leo Østigård Defender	41	0	0	–	61.1	–
Sander Berge Midfielder	90	0	0	0.01	59.9	+3.2
Marcus Pedersen Midfielder	74	0	0	–	56.1	+12.6
Jørgen Strand Larsen Forward	15	0	0	0.05	55.4	–
Andreas Schjelderup Midfielder	75	0	0	0.11	53.8	−7.6
Kristoffer Ajer Defender	90	0	0	–	51.5	−10.1
Ørjan Nyland Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	49.1	+0.9
Erling Haaland Forward	90	0	0	0.35	44.4	−18.6
David Møller Wolfe Defender	75	0	0	0.04	43.6	+6.3
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder	45	0	0	–	40.5	−11.2
Julian Ryerson Midfielder	16	0	0	–	40.1	–
Thelo Aasgaard Midfielder	45	0	0	0.04	37.1	−10.0
Torbjørn Heggem Defender	46	0	0	–	34.5	−17.4