FOOTYBOT
Matchday

UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 4 Oct 2026

Wales 0–1 Denmark

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.7 – 1.4
Actual xG
0.4 – 2.2
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Wales favourites at 44%.

Denmark won and made the better chances: 2.2 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Rasmus Højlund, 77.2 in 82′.

Well above their usual level: Andreas Skov Olsen +29.2, Rasmus Højlund +28.9, Gustav Isaksen +10.5.

Well below it: Morten Hjulmand −10.7, Ben Davies −9.5.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Wales

1 Oct 2026W 2–1v Norway UEFA Nations League
27 Sep 2026L 0–2at Denmark UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026L 0–1at Portugal UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2026D 1–1v Bosnia & Herzegovina World Cup Qualification UEFA
18 Nov 2025W 7–1v North Macedonia World Cup Qualification UEFA

Denmark

1 Oct 2026L 2–4v Portugal UEFA Nations League
27 Sep 2026W 2–0v Wales UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026L 2–3at Norway UEFA Nations League
31 Mar 2026D 1–1at Czechia World Cup Qualification UEFA
26 Mar 2026W 4–0v North Macedonia World Cup Qualification UEFA

Head to head

27 Sep 2026Denmark 2–0 Wales UEFA Nations League

Wales

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Danny Ward Goalkeeper9000–60.4+10.2
Neco Williams Defender9000–58.8+5.8
Ethan Ampadu Midfielder90000.0257.2+4.2
Kieffer Moore Forward12000.1857.1–
Jay DaSilva Defender9000–56.0+10.1
Brennan Johnson Forward76000.0852.3+4.2
Ben Cabango Defender9000–51.1+0.2
Ben Davies Defender8300–49.5−9.5
Jordan James Midfielder5600–47.0+7.8
Liam Cullen Forward7600–46.4+3.1
Joel Colwill Midfielder1400–44.4–
Sorba Thomas Midfielder90000.0342.1−5.1
Josh Sheehan Midfielder3400–40.8–
Lewis Koumas Forward56000.0738.2+0.8
Mark Harris Forward3400–36.5–
Wes Burns Midfielder1900–28.4–

Denmark

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Rasmus Højlund Forward82101.4077.2+28.9
Andreas Skov Olsen Midfielder8000–67.8+29.2
Gustav Isaksen Forward82000.4864.9+10.5
Oliver Provstgaard Defender90000.2261.4+8.9
Joakim Mæhle Defender9000–57.4+8.1
Joachim Andersen Defender9000–55.7−2.7
Mads Hermansen Goalkeeper9000–48.8+0.5
Victor Froholdt Midfielder9000–48.2+5.1
Morten Hjulmand Midfielder90000.1045.6−10.7
Mathias Kvistgaarden Forward800–45.1–
Anton Gaaei Defender1400–44.4–
Rasmus Kristensen Defender7600–39.2−3.1
Kasper Høgh Forward800–35.8–
Pierre-Emile Højbjerg Midfielder1000–33.1–