UEFA Nations League 26/27 · 4 Oct 2026

Portugal 2–1 Norway

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Portugal favourites at 56%.

Portugal won and made the better chances: 1.8 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Vitinha, 71.7 in 86′.

Well above their usual level: Gonçalo Ramos +10.2, João Félix +8.9, Kristoffer Ajer +8.5.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Oct 2026	W 4–2	at Denmark UEFA Nations League
27 Sep 2026	W 2–1	at Norway UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	W 1–0	v Wales UEFA Nations League
6 Jul 2026	L 0–1	v Spain World Cup 2026
2 Jul 2026	W 2–1	v Croatia World Cup 2026

1 Oct 2026	L 1–2	at Wales UEFA Nations League
27 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Portugal UEFA Nations League
24 Sep 2026	W 3–2	v Denmark UEFA Nations League
11 Jul 2026	D 1–1	v England World Cup 2026
5 Jul 2026	W 2–1	at Brazil World Cup 2026

27 Sep 2026	Norway 1–2 Portugal UEFA Nations League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nuno Tavares Defender	1	0	0	–	100.0	–
Vitinha Midfielder	86	0	0	0.09	71.7	+8.5
Rúben Neves Midfielder	27	0	0	0.16	62.9	–
João Cancelo Defender	63	1	0	0.14	61.9	+7.9
Rúben Dias Defender	90	0	0	–	60.4	+1.9
João Félix Forward	89	0	1	0.12	59.5	+8.9
Gonçalo Ramos Forward	90	1	0	0.86	59.4	+10.2
João Palhinha Midfielder	63	0	0	–	55.1	+3.4
Renato Veiga Defender	90	0	0	0.08	55.0	−2.1
Nuno Mendes Defender	90	0	1	0.10	51.7	−10.0
Diogo Dalot Defender	27	0	0	–	51.1	–
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder	89	0	0	0.08	49.3	−13.9
Francisco Conceição Forward	86	0	0	0.17	48.5	−6.2
Diogo Costa Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	38.8	−14.9
Bernardo Silva Midfielder	10	0	0	–	35.3	–
Francisco Trincão Midfielder	1	0	0	–	34.1	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Kristoffer Ajer Defender	90	1	0	0.03	67.5	+8.5
Martin Ødegaard Midfielder	90	0	1	–	65.1	−1.8
Leo Østigård Defender	90	0	0	–	64.1	+6.9
Fredrik Aursnes Midfielder	90	0	0	–	56.5	+6.5
Patrick Berg Midfielder	87	0	0	0.03	54.7	+1.8
Erling Haaland Forward	67	0	0	0.30	49.6	−9.4
Sander Berge Midfielder	90	0	0	–	49.0	−8.6
Antonio Nusa Forward	74	0	0	0.06	45.8	−9.7
David Møller Wolfe Defender	90	0	0	–	43.9	+5.2
Andreas Schjelderup Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	41.9	−19.9
Jørgen Strand Larsen Forward	23	0	0	–	41.5	–
Oscar Bobb Midfielder	16	0	0	–	38.7	–
Egil Selvik Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	38.0	−6.0
Thelo Aasgaard Midfielder	9	0	0	–	32.6	–