Championship 25/26 · 24 Jan 2026

Birmingham City 1–1 Stoke City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Birmingham City favourites at 67%.

Birmingham City deserved more from the draw, creating 1.9 xG to 0.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Eric Bocat, 59.0 in 68′.

Well above their usual level: Eric Bocat +21.1, Ashley Phillips +15.3.

Well below it: Ibrahim Osman −26.9, Jun-Ho Bae −9.5, Tomáš Rigo −9.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Sheffield Wednesday Championship
17 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at Swansea City Championship
10 Jan 2026	W 3–2	at Cambridge United FA Cup
4 Jan 2026	W 3–2	v Coventry City Championship
1 Jan 2026	L 0–3	at Watford Championship

21 Jan 2026	L 1–2	v Middlesbrough Championship
17 Jan 2026	D 0–0	v Queens Park Rangers Championship
10 Jan 2026	W 1–0	v Coventry City FA Cup
4 Jan 2026	W 2–0	at Norwich City Championship
1 Jan 2026	W 1–0	at Hull City Championship

13 Sep 2025	Stoke City 1–0 Birmingham City Championship

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
James Beadle Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	51.6	+4.4
Christoph Klarer Defender	90	0	0	0.32	47.9	−2.5
Phil Neumann Defender	90	0	0	0.20	45.5	+0.4
Tomoki Iwata Midfielder	90	1	0	0.27	44.9	+7.5
Seung Ho Paik Midfielder	90	0	0	0.11	42.2	+2.5
Marvin Ducksch Forward	81	0	0	0.07	41.4	−3.7
Tommy Doyle Midfielder	57	0	0	0.04	41.4	+0.1
Patrick Roberts Midfielder	89	0	0	–	40.4	+1.1
Kyogo Furuhashi Forward	9	0	0	–	38.0	–
Scott Wright Midfielder	1	0	0	–	35.9	–
Jhon Solís Midfielder	33	0	0	–	33.8	–
Kai Wagner Defender	90	0	0	0.01	33.4	+0.7
August Priske Forward	34	0	0	0.24	30.8	–
Jay Stansfield Midfielder	90	0	1	0.46	28.2	−4.3
Ibrahim Osman Midfielder	56	0	0	0.15	16.6	−26.9

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Eric Bocat Defender	68	–	59.0	+21.1
Ashley Phillips Defender	90	–	58.9	+15.3
Tommy Simkin Goalkeeper	90	–	55.3	+1.9
Aaron Cresswell Defender	22	–	46.7	–
Tatsuki Seko Midfielder	90	0.08	41.7	+4.9
Steven N'Zonzi Midfielder	90	0.06	40.8	−1.7
Lamine Cissé Forward	90	–	39.8	−2.5
Million Manhoef Midfielder	90	0.06	39.8	+6.2
Favour Fawunmi Forward	22	–	39.3	–
Sorba Thomas Midfielder	90	–	38.9	+7.7
Maksym Talovierov Defender	90	–	38.5	−2.9
Ben Pearson Midfielder	1	–	35.9	–
Tomáš Rigo Midfielder	89	0.03	34.4	−9.0
Jun-Ho Bae Midfielder	68	0.09	28.1	−9.5