FC Barcelona 1–2 Real Madrid
Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 21% · Standout: Eduardo Camavinga scored 100.0
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.3 – 1.3
- Actual xG
- 1.2 – 1.9
- Goals
- 1 – 2
Footybot made FC Barcelona favourites at 59%.
Real Madrid won and made the better chances: 1.9 xG to 1.2.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kylian Mbappé, 84.6 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Kylian Mbappé +23.5, Dean Huijsen +15.7, Marc Cucurella +14.5.
Well below it: Lamine Yamal −21.8, Arda Güler −19.1, Raphinha −18.5.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
FC Barcelona
| 20 Oct 2026 | L 2–4 | at Paris Saint-Germain |
| 17 Oct 2026 | W 5–2 | at Real Betis |
| 13 Oct 2026 | W 4–1 | at Galatasaray |
| 10 Oct 2026 | W 3–0 | v Getafe |
| 19 Sep 2026 | W 3–1 | at Sevilla |
Real Madrid
| 21 Oct 2026 | W 4–1 | v RB Leipzig |
| 18 Oct 2026 | W 4–1 | v Sevilla |
| 14 Oct 2026 | W 4–3 | at AS Roma |
| 10 Oct 2026 | W 1–0 | v Villarreal |
| 20 Sep 2026 | L 1–2 | at Atlético Madrid |
Head to head
| 10 May 2026 | FC Barcelona 2–0 Real Madrid |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Real Madrid 2–1 FC Barcelona |
FC Barcelona
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| João Cancelo | 90 | 68.3 | +10.8 |
| Anthony Gordon | 85 | 64.5 | −0.0 |
| Frenkie de Jong | 16 | 63.3 | – |
| Rodri | 90 | 62.1 | −8.8 |
| Pedri | 90 | 60.8 | −2.9 |
| Pau Cubarsí | 90 | 60.4 | −7.7 |
| Xavi Espart | 30 | 56.3 | – |
| Gerard Martín | 90 | 56.3 | −0.1 |
| Alejandro Balde | 60 | 56.1 | +6.8 |
| Joan García | 90 | 52.2 | +4.0 |
| Raphinha | 86 | 51.9 | −18.5 |
| Lamine Yamal | 90 | 51.1 | −21.8 |
| Fermín López | 74 | 47.1 | −14.2 |
| Gabriel Jesus | 12 | 37.8 | – |
| Karim Adeyemi | 13 | 37.4 | – |
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Camavinga | 10 | 100.0 | – |
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 84.6 | +23.5 |
| Dean Huijsen | 90 | 71.0 | +15.7 |
| Marc Cucurella | 90 | 62.0 | +14.5 |
| Trent Alexander-Arnold | 1 | 56.8 | – |
| Jude Bellingham | 90 | 53.0 | −9.3 |
| Andriy Lunin | 90 | 52.8 | +5.1 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 90 | 52.5 | −3.5 |
| Arda Güler | 89 | 51.9 | −19.1 |
| Yan Diomande | 89 | 50.4 | −11.9 |
| Federico Valverde | 62 | 50.3 | −1.2 |
| Ibrahima Konaté | 90 | 47.7 | −2.8 |
| Bernardo Silva | 80 | 40.2 | −12.0 |
| Denzel Dumfries | 28 | 40.1 | – |
| Carlos Espí | 1 | 14.7 | – |