LaLiga 26/27 · 10 Oct 2026

Real Madrid 1–0 Villarreal

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 68%.

Real Madrid won a close one on the chances: 1.0 xG to 0.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Alexander Freeman, 96.5 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Alexander Freeman +41.6, Marc Cucurella +15.9, Alberto Moleiro +9.8.

Well below it: Jude Bellingham −26.3, Arda Güler −26.3, Kylian Mbappé −21.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

20 Sep 2026	W 3–1	v Levante UD LaLiga
17 Sep 2026	W 3–1	at Málaga CF LaLiga
14 Sep 2026	L 1–2	v Real Betis LaLiga
8 Sep 2026	L 2–3	at Borussia Dortmund Champions League
5 Sep 2026	L 2–3	v Deportivo de A Coruña LaLiga

24 Jan 2026	Villarreal 0–2 Real Madrid LaLiga
4 Oct 2025	Real Madrid 3–1 Villarreal LaLiga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Marc Cucurella Defender	45	0	0	–	62.5	+15.9
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	58.5	+8.5
Yan Diomande Forward	86	1	0	0.23	57.8	+4.8
Federico Valverde Midfielder	90	0	1	–	50.1	−0.1
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder	90	0	0	0.02	48.0	−3.2
Álvaro Carreras Defender	45	0	0	–	47.8	−4.4
Kylian Mbappé Forward	90	0	0	0.55	46.6	−21.1
Arda Güler Midfielder	77	0	0	0.07	44.9	−26.3
Antonio Rüdiger Defender	90	0	0	–	44.7	−4.7
Jude Bellingham Midfielder	90	0	0	0.05	40.7	−26.3
Ibrahima Konaté Defender	90	0	0	0.01	40.0	−11.4
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder	13	0	0	–	39.1	–
Denzel Dumfries Midfielder	12	0	0	–	37.0	–
Trent Alexander-Arnold Defender	52	0	0	–	33.2	−20.0
Vinícius Júnior Forward	20	0	0	0.02	0.0	–

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Alexander Freeman Defender	90	–	96.5	+41.6
Carlos Romero Defender	34	0.07	73.0	–
Georges Mikautadze Forward	23	0.19	63.2	–
Alberto Moleiro Midfielder	86	0.13	62.5	+9.8
Renato Veiga Defender	90	0.03	60.8	+4.8
Nathan-Dylan Saliba Midfielder	34	0.01	56.4	–
Pau Navarro Defender	90	–	55.8	+8.6
Santi Comesaña Midfielder	56	–	52.8	+1.8
Gerard Moreno Forward	23	0.02	51.6	–
Pape Gueye Midfielder	90	0.13	51.0	−4.2
Juan Foyth Defender	56	–	50.7	−6.8
Ilias Akhomach Midfielder	67	0.02	49.7	+6.3
Péter Gulácsi Goalkeeper	90	–	48.8	+0.9
Ayoze Pérez Forward	90	0.03	47.0	−5.2
Sergi Cardona Defender	67	–	41.9	−4.5
Nizar El Jmili Midfielder	12	–	29.1	–