Matchday

LaLiga 26/27 · 12 Sep 2026

Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Aug 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.4 – 0.8
Actual xG
2.7 – 1.1
Goals
4 – 1

Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 74%.

Real Madrid won and made the better chances: 2.7 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kylian Mbappé, 78.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Pathé Ismaël Ciss +18.6, Adrià Pedrosa +15.6, Antonio Rüdiger +14.7.

Well below it: Florian Lejeune −17.5, Vinícius Júnior −15.7, Álvaro García −10.4.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Real Madrid

8 Sep 2026W 2–1v Inter Champions League
4 Sep 2026L 0–1at Real Betis LaLiga
30 Aug 2026W 4–0v Málaga CF LaLiga
26 Aug 2026W 4–1v Real Sociedad LaLiga
22 Aug 2026W 2–1at Espanyol LaLiga

Rayo Vallecano

5 Sep 2026W 3–2v Real Racing Club LaLiga
31 Aug 2026L 2–5at FC Barcelona LaLiga
20 Aug 2026D 1–1v Deportivo Alavés LaLiga
15 Aug 2026L 1–2at Sevilla LaLiga
27 May 2026L 0–1at Crystal Palace Conference League

Head to head

1 Feb 2026Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano LaLiga
9 Nov 2025Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Real Madrid LaLiga

Real Madrid

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Arda Güler Midfielder18010.02100.0–
Kylian Mbappé Forward90211.0878.4+6.2
Antonio Rüdiger Defender90000.0262.6+14.7
Aurélien Tchouaméni Midfielder21000.0162.0–
Álvaro Carreras Defender90100.1960.9+6.9
Jude Bellingham Midfielder90100.3860.4−5.3
Yan Diomande Forward72000.0456.1−3.8
Thibaut Courtois Goalkeeper9000–54.7+5.9
Federico Valverde Midfielder45000.0654.4+3.4
Eduardo Camavinga Midfielder4500–53.6+0.9
Bernardo Silva Midfielder69000.3252.2+1.1
Marc Cucurella Defender100–50.5–
Vinícius Júnior Forward89010.1744.7−15.7
Ibrahima Konaté Defender90000.2942.8−8.7
Denzel Dumfries Midfielder90000.1141.4−5.5

Rayo Vallecano

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Mujaid Sadick Defender1500–83.1–
Pathé Ismaël Ciss Midfielder9000–69.8+18.6
Alemão Forward15000.2367.1–
Sergio Camello Forward75100.1464.8+6.6
Óscar Valentín Midfielder2300–64.7–
Adrià Pedrosa Defender8600–61.1+15.6
Andrei Rațiu Defender9000–59.5+8.8
Unai López Midfielder75000.0358.7+7.4
Pedro Díaz Midfielder67000.1656.2+9.1
Giorgi Tsitaishvili Midfielder90000.4850.5−2.2
Rayane Belaid Midfielder2300–45.7–
Florian Lejeune Defender90000.0839.2−17.5
Álvaro García Midfielder90000.0138.1−10.4
Emil Audero Goalkeeper9000–37.3−9.4
Iván Balliu Defender900–28.9–