Real Madrid 4–1 Rayo Vallecano
Expected and what happened
- Expected xG
- 2.4 – 0.8
- Actual xG
- 2.7 – 1.1
- Goals
- 4 – 1
Footybot made Real Madrid favourites at 74%.
Real Madrid won and made the better chances: 2.7 xG to 1.1.
Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Kylian Mbappé, 78.4 in 90′.
Well above their usual level: Pathé Ismaël Ciss +18.6, Adrià Pedrosa +15.6, Antonio Rüdiger +14.7.
Well below it: Florian Lejeune −17.5, Vinícius Júnior −15.7, Álvaro García −10.4.
Going in
Each side's last five results before this match.
Real Madrid
| 8 Sep 2026 | W 2–1 | v Inter |
| 4 Sep 2026 | L 0–1 | at Real Betis |
| 30 Aug 2026 | W 4–0 | v Málaga CF |
| 26 Aug 2026 | W 4–1 | v Real Sociedad |
| 22 Aug 2026 | W 2–1 | at Espanyol |
Rayo Vallecano
| 5 Sep 2026 | W 3–2 | v Real Racing Club |
| 31 Aug 2026 | L 2–5 | at FC Barcelona |
| 20 Aug 2026 | D 1–1 | v Deportivo Alavés |
| 15 Aug 2026 | L 1–2 | at Sevilla |
| 27 May 2026 | L 0–1 | at Crystal Palace |
Head to head
| 1 Feb 2026 | Real Madrid 2–1 Rayo Vallecano |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Rayo Vallecano 0–0 Real Madrid |
Real Madrid
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arda Güler | 18 | 100.0 | – |
| Kylian Mbappé | 90 | 78.4 | +6.2 |
| Antonio Rüdiger | 90 | 62.6 | +14.7 |
| Aurélien Tchouaméni | 21 | 62.0 | – |
| Álvaro Carreras | 90 | 60.9 | +6.9 |
| Jude Bellingham | 90 | 60.4 | −5.3 |
| Yan Diomande | 72 | 56.1 | −3.8 |
| Thibaut Courtois | 90 | 54.7 | +5.9 |
| Federico Valverde | 45 | 54.4 | +3.4 |
| Eduardo Camavinga | 45 | 53.6 | +0.9 |
| Bernardo Silva | 69 | 52.2 | +1.1 |
| Marc Cucurella | 1 | 50.5 | – |
| Vinícius Júnior | 89 | 44.7 | −15.7 |
| Ibrahima Konaté | 90 | 42.8 | −8.7 |
| Denzel Dumfries | 90 | 41.4 | −5.5 |
Rayo Vallecano
| Player | Min | Score | vs usual |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mujaid Sadick | 15 | 83.1 | – |
| Pathé Ismaël Ciss | 90 | 69.8 | +18.6 |
| Alemão | 15 | 67.1 | – |
| Sergio Camello | 75 | 64.8 | +6.6 |
| Óscar Valentín | 23 | 64.7 | – |
| Adrià Pedrosa | 86 | 61.1 | +15.6 |
| Andrei Rațiu | 90 | 59.5 | +8.8 |
| Unai López | 75 | 58.7 | +7.4 |
| Pedro Díaz | 67 | 56.2 | +9.1 |
| Giorgi Tsitaishvili | 90 | 50.5 | −2.2 |
| Rayane Belaid | 23 | 45.7 | – |
| Florian Lejeune | 90 | 39.2 | −17.5 |
| Álvaro García | 90 | 38.1 | −10.4 |
| Emil Audero | 90 | 37.3 | −9.4 |
| Iván Balliu | 9 | 28.9 | – |