Bundesliga 25/26 · 14 Mar 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 FC Bayern München

Picked for matchday: Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24% · Chances everywhere: 4.3 xG · Standout: Exequiel Palacios scored 86.7

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made FC Bayern München favourites at 42%.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen deserved more from the draw, creating 3.0 xG to 1.3.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ibrahim Maza, 71.6 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Ibrahim Maza +18.5, Lennart Karl +13.9.

Well below it: Konrad Laimer −14.6, Martin Terrier −12.5, Joshua Kimmich −11.9.

Each side's last five results before this match.

11 Mar 2026	D 1–1	v Arsenal Champions League
7 Mar 2026	D 3–3	at SC Freiburg Bundesliga
4 Mar 2026	W 1–0	at Hamburger SV Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
24 Feb 2026	D 0–0	v Olympiacos FC Champions League

10 Mar 2026	W 6–1	at Atalanta Champions League
6 Mar 2026	W 4–1	v Borussia M'gladbach Bundesliga
28 Feb 2026	W 3–2	at Borussia Dortmund Bundesliga
21 Feb 2026	W 3–2	v Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
14 Feb 2026	W 3–0	at SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga

1 Nov 2025	FC Bayern München 3–0 Bayer 04 Leverkusen Bundesliga

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Exequiel Palacios Midfielder	13	0	0	0.04	86.7	–
Ibrahim Maza Forward	45	0	0	0.67	71.6	+18.5
Nathan Tella Forward	13	0	0	–	70.2	–
Jonas Hofmann Forward	13	0	0	–	65.5	–
Aleix García Midfielder	77	1	0	0.12	57.6	+1.5
Janis Blaswich Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	56.7	+4.6
Patrik Schick Forward	61	0	1	0.43	54.4	+2.9
Ernest Poku Forward	87	0	0	0.05	54.0	+4.3
Ezequiel Fernández Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	54.0	+2.2
Montrell Culbreath Midfielder	77	0	0	0.11	52.6	–
Robert Andrich Defender	90	0	0	–	52.2	+3.2
Malik Tillman Midfielder	90	0	0	0.48	48.0	−4.0
Edmond Tapsoba Defender	90	0	0	–	46.5	−10.2
Christian Kofane Forward	29	0	0	0.05	41.8	–
Jarell Quansah Defender	90	0	0	0.96	41.3	−5.6
Martin Terrier Forward	45	0	0	–	39.3	−12.5

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Jonathan Tah Defender	90	0	0	–	63.1	+6.4
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder	61	0	0	–	62.4	+6.1
Josip Stanišić Defender	90	0	0	0.08	61.9	+7.6
Michael Olise Midfielder	89	0	1	0.18	61.8	−1.0
Sven Ulreich Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	60.5	–
Lennart Karl Midfielder	61	0	0	0.09	60.1	+13.9
Dayot Upamecano Defender	90	0	0	–	59.3	+3.7
Harry Kane Forward	29	0	0	0.01	53.9	–
Luis Díaz Midfielder	84	1	0	0.69	53.6	−11.6
Leon Goretzka Midfielder	29	0	0	–	50.7	–
Joshua Kimmich Midfielder	90	0	0	–	48.9	−11.9
Tom Bischof Midfielder	11	0	0	–	47.5	–
Konrad Laimer Defender	88	0	0	–	40.8	−14.6
Nicolas Jackson Forward	42	0	0	0.25	34.7	–
Kim Min-jae Defender	12	0	0	–	34.6	–