FOOTYBOT
Matchday

Premier League 26/27 · 17 Oct 2026

Newcastle United 0–1 Aston Villa

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
1.7 – 1.1
Actual xG
1.1 – 1.5
Goals
0 – 1

Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 52%.

Aston Villa won a close one on the chances: 1.5 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Malick Thiaw, 76.4 in 97′.

Well above their usual level: Malick Thiaw +16.5, João Gomes +11.6, Johan Manzambi +10.4.

Well below it: Lewis Hall −10.4.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Newcastle United

12 Oct 2026L 1–4at Coventry City Premier League
19 Sep 2026W 2–1v Hull City Premier League
14 Sep 2026L 1–4at Leeds United Premier League
8 Sep 2026W 1–0at Millwall EFL Cup
5 Sep 2026D 2–2v Bournemouth Premier League

Aston Villa

14 Oct 2026W 6–0v Fenerbahçe Champions League
10 Oct 2026D 2–2v Brentford Premier League
19 Sep 2026W 3–2at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
16 Sep 2026W 3–1at Coventry City EFL Cup
12 Sep 2026L 1–2v Nottingham Forest Premier League

Head to head

25 Jan 2026Newcastle United 0–2 Aston Villa Premier League
16 Aug 2025Aston Villa 0–0 Newcastle United Premier League

Newcastle United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Dan Burn Defender700–100.0–
Malick Thiaw Defender9700–76.4+16.5
Sven Botman Defender97000.1165.9+3.6
Lewis Hall Defender9700–53.8−10.4
Lewis Miley Midfielder9700–53.3+2.7
Nico González Midfielder97000.0551.1−3.8
Joelinton Midfielder9000–49.5−2.2
Harvey Barnes Forward97000.2749.2−1.3
Yoane Wissa Forward97000.5448.9+1.4
Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper9700–47.5−1.8
Joe Willock Midfielder56000.0345.8−7.0
Bazoumana Touré Midfielder4100–42.0–
William Osula Forward41000.0641.4–
Matías Fernández-Pardo Forward5600–40.6−3.6

Aston Villa

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Ibrahim Mbaye Forward25000.3091.9–
Ross Barkley Midfielder25000.0881.0–
Pau Torres Defender2000–67.5–
Johan Manzambi Midfielder72100.4464.1+10.4
João Gomes Midfielder7201–59.7+11.6
Boubacar Kamara Midfielder9700–57.3+3.6
Zion Suzuki Goalkeeper9700–56.3+2.9
Leon Goretzka Midfielder25000.0754.2–
Nicolas Jackson Forward97000.3653.6−0.4
Emiliano Buendía Midfielder72000.1953.4+0.8
Matty Cash Defender97000.0652.3+9.7
Alysson Midfielder4500–51.5+4.4
Victor Lindelöf Defender9700–50.9−1.3
Tyrone Mings Defender9700–46.1−4.8
John McGinn Midfielder5200–45.9−5.8
Aaron Wan-Bissaka Defender7700–45.8+0.3