Matchday

Bundesliga 25/26 · 18 Oct 2025

FC Bayern München 2–1 Borussia Dortmund

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Chances everywhere: 4.1 xG · Standout: Julian Brandt scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.5 – 0.9
Actual xG
2.5 – 1.6
Goals
2 – 1

Footybot made FC Bayern München favourites at 71%.

FC Bayern München won and made the better chances: 2.5 xG to 1.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Julian Ryerson, 100.0 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Julian Ryerson +43.3, Nico Schlotterbeck +25.2, Felix Nmecha +16.0.

Well below it: Luis Díaz −13.3, Nicolas Jackson −9.2.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

FC Bayern München

4 Oct 2025W 3–0at Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga
30 Sep 2025W 5–1at Pafos FC Champions League
26 Sep 2025W 4–0v SV Werder Bremen Bundesliga
20 Sep 2025W 4–1at TSG Hoffenheim Bundesliga
17 Sep 2025W 3–1v Chelsea Champions League

Borussia Dortmund

4 Oct 2025D 1–1v RB Leipzig Bundesliga
1 Oct 2025W 4–1v Athletic Club Champions League
27 Sep 2025W 2–0at 1. FSV Mainz 05 Bundesliga
21 Sep 2025W 1–0v VfL Wolfsburg Bundesliga
16 Sep 2025D 4–4at Juventus Champions League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

FC Bayern München

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Kim Min-jae Defender100–100.0–
Joshua Kimmich Midfielder90010.1770.5+14.1
Michael Olise Midfielder90101.0768.5+2.9
Harry Kane Forward90100.2360.1−7.5
Dayot Upamecano Defender90000.0155.0−2.0
Aleksandar Pavlović Midfielder8900–52.5−4.5
Leon Goretzka Midfielder2900–50.6–
Jonathan Tah Defender9000–49.2−6.1
Nicolas Jackson Forward6100–47.0−9.2
Manuel Neuer Goalkeeper9000–46.6−6.1
Konrad Laimer Defender9000–45.3−2.4
Luis Díaz Midfielder90000.9444.1−13.3
Sacha Boey Defender84000.0741.2−6.0
Tom Bischof Midfielder1200–33.8–

Borussia Dortmund

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Julian Ryerson Midfielder9001–100.0+43.3
Julian Brandt Forward12100.71100.0–
Nico Schlotterbeck Defender90000.0485.9+25.2
Fábio Silva Forward12000.0269.8–
Felix Nmecha Midfielder90000.3667.0+16.0
Jobe Bellingham Midfielder1700–65.9–
Waldemar Anton Defender9000–60.4+5.0
Daniel Svensson Midfielder9000–59.9+7.8
Ramy Bensebaini Defender4500–58.9+3.0
Gregor Kobel Goalkeeper9000–54.6+5.6
Pascal Groß Midfielder8400–54.4+1.6
Karim Adeyemi Forward74000.3252.8+0.5
Serhou Guirassy Forward84000.1252.1−5.8
Niklas Süle Defender4500–43.0–
Marcel Sabitzer Midfielder7300–41.4−4.2
Maximilian Beier Forward1600–38.0–