EFL Cup 25/26, Semifinals · 4 Feb 2026

Manchester City 3–1 Newcastle United

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Manchester City favourites at 55%.

Manchester City won and made the better chances: 2.3 xG to 0.9.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Tijjani Reijnders, 83.4 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Anthony Elanga +31.4, Tijjani Reijnders +31.3, Omar Marmoush +25.5.

Well below it: Sven Botman −14.6, Phil Foden −14.2, Matheus Nunes −13.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

1 Feb 2026	D 2–2	at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
28 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v Galatasaray Champions League
24 Jan 2026	W 2–0	v Wolverhampton Premier League
20 Jan 2026	L 1–3	at Bodø/Glimt Champions League
17 Jan 2026	L 0–2	at Manchester United Premier League

31 Jan 2026	L 1–4	at Liverpool FC Premier League
28 Jan 2026	D 1–1	at Paris Saint-Germain Champions League
25 Jan 2026	L 0–2	v Aston Villa Premier League
21 Jan 2026	W 3–0	v PSV Eindhoven Champions League
18 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Wolverhampton Premier League

13 Jan 2026	Newcastle United 0–2 Manchester City EFL Cup
22 Nov 2025	Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester City Premier League

Player	Min	G	xG	Score	vs usual
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	18	0	0.03	100.0	–
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder	90	1	0.56	83.4	+31.3
Rico Lewis Defender	9	0	–	80.1	–
Omar Marmoush Forward	90	2	1.23	75.1	+25.5
Rodri Midfielder	19	0	0.03	67.1	–
Rayan Aït-Nouri Defender	90	0	0.04	66.1	+12.8
Erling Haaland Forward	19	0	0.24	63.2	–
James Trafford Goalkeeper	90	0	–	54.5	+6.6
Nathan Aké Defender	45	0	0.02	54.3	+5.0
Antoine Semenyo Midfielder	71	0	0.03	50.8	−3.7
Nico O'Reilly Defender	71	0	–	49.2	−6.2
Nico González Midfielder	83	0	0.02	48.8	−5.1
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender	90	0	–	48.1	−7.8
Max Alleyne Defender	45	0	–	44.0	−3.0
Matheus Nunes Defender	90	0	–	41.5	−13.6
Phil Foden Midfielder	72	0	0.04	38.1	−14.2

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Anthony Elanga Forward	45	1	0	0.42	83.4	+31.4
William Osula Forward	14	0	0	–	70.5	–
Kieran Trippier Defender	76	0	0	0.05	63.6	+5.9
Dan Burn Defender	90	0	0	–	63.2	+2.9
Lewis Hall Defender	45	0	0	–	62.9	+6.1
Harvey Barnes Forward	46	0	0	0.08	57.8	+5.4
Joe Willock Midfielder	45	0	0	–	55.0	+1.8
Jacob Murphy Midfielder	45	0	0	–	52.9	+2.4
Sandro Tonali Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	50.0	−2.3
Anthony Gordon Forward	44	0	0	0.15	47.9	–
Aaron Ramsdale Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.5	−6.0
Malick Thiaw Defender	90	0	1	0.03	44.4	−10.0
Jacob Ramsey Midfielder	90	0	0	0.01	42.7	−6.4
Yoane Wissa Forward	45	0	0	0.06	41.2	−8.0
Sven Botman Defender	90	0	0	0.02	40.9	−14.6
Nick Woltemade Forward	45	0	0	–	40.7	−6.8