FA Cup 25/26, Round 5 · 7 Mar 2026

Newcastle United 1–3 Manchester City

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Chances everywhere: 4.3 xG · Standout: Rayan Cherki scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 44%.

Manchester City won and made the better chances: 3.2 xG to 1.1.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Omar Marmoush, 79.2 in 73′.

Well above their usual level: Omar Marmoush +28.1, Sávio +18.8, Matheus Nunes +15.1.

Well below it: Anthony Elanga −11.6, Joe Willock −11.1.

Each side's last five results before this match.

4 Mar 2026	W 2–1	v Manchester United Premier League
28 Feb 2026	L 2–3	v Everton Premier League
24 Feb 2026	W 3–2	v Qarabağ FK Champions League
21 Feb 2026	L 1–2	at Manchester City Premier League
18 Feb 2026	W 6–1	at Qarabağ FK Champions League

4 Mar 2026	D 2–2	v Nottingham Forest Premier League
28 Feb 2026	W 1–0	at Leeds United Premier League
21 Feb 2026	W 2–1	v Newcastle United Premier League
14 Feb 2026	W 2–0	v Salford City FA Cup
11 Feb 2026	W 3–0	v Fulham Premier League

21 Feb 2026	Manchester City 2–1 Newcastle United Premier League
4 Feb 2026	Manchester City 3–1 Newcastle United EFL Cup
13 Jan 2026	Newcastle United 0–2 Manchester City EFL Cup
22 Nov 2025	Newcastle United 2–1 Manchester City Premier League

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Tino Livramento Defender	10	0	0	–	64.5	–
Harvey Barnes Forward	90	1	0	0.42	59.7	+13.5
Malick Thiaw Defender	90	0	0	0.15	56.2	−0.6
William Osula Forward	63	0	0	0.13	53.9	+8.1
Sven Botman Defender	90	0	0	–	52.3	−3.8
Lewis Hall Defender	80	0	0	–	52.3	−1.2
Dan Burn Defender	27	0	0	–	51.8	–
Kieran Trippier Defender	63	0	0	–	51.5	−3.2
Sandro Tonali Midfielder	90	0	1	0.14	49.8	−4.9
Joelinton Midfielder	28	0	0	–	47.9	–
Anthony Gordon Forward	18	0	0	–	47.3	–
Nick Woltemade Forward	72	0	0	0.16	46.2	−1.6
Aaron Ramsdale Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	45.1	−5.5
Joe Willock Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	41.3	−11.1
Anthony Elanga Forward	62	0	0	0.01	39.1	−11.6
Yoane Wissa Forward	27	0	0	–	38.6	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	11	0	0	0.02	100.0	–
Omar Marmoush Forward	73	2	0	0.93	79.2	+28.1
Sávio Midfielder	79	1	0	0.80	75.4	+18.8
Jérémy Doku Midfielder	79	0	1	–	71.7	+11.0
John Stones Defender	90	0	0	–	66.8	+10.2
Matheus Nunes Defender	90	0	1	–	66.1	+15.1
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender	90	0	0	0.09	65.0	+10.7
Nathan Aké Defender	90	0	0	0.19	60.7	+10.9
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder	90	0	0	0.98	59.1	+6.7
Nico O'Reilly Defender	90	0	0	0.08	53.8	+2.4
Nico González Midfielder	90	0	0	0.13	52.8	−1.3
Antoine Semenyo Midfielder	17	0	0	–	52.3	–
James Trafford Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	47.0	−2.2
Phil Foden Midfielder	11	0	0	–	40.7	–