Brasileiro Serie A 2026 · 26 Feb 2026

Grêmio 2–1 Atlético Mineiro

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jan 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Grêmio favourites at 53%.

Grêmio won and made the better chances: 0.9 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Erick Noriega, 56.8 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Erick Noriega +10.2.

Well below it: Gustavo Scarpa −25.0, Carlos Vinícius −19.1, Hulk −16.0.

Each side's last five results before this match.

12 Feb 2026	L 0–2	at São Paulo Brasileirão Série A
5 Feb 2026	W 5–3	v Botafogo Brasileirão Série A
28 Jan 2026	L 1–2	at Fluminense Brasileirão Série A
7 Dec 2025	W 4–0	at Sport Recife Brasileirão Série A
3 Dec 2025	L 1–2	v Fluminense Brasileirão Série A

11 Feb 2026	D 3–3	v Remo Brasileirão Série A
4 Feb 2026	L 0–1	at Red Bull Bragantino Brasileirão Série A
28 Jan 2026	D 2–2	v Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A
7 Dec 2025	W 5–0	v Vasco da Gama Brasileirão Série A
4 Dec 2025	L 0–3	v Palmeiras Brasileirão Série A

17 Aug 2025	Atlético Mineiro 1–3 Grêmio Brasileirão Série A

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Erick Noriega Midfielder	90	1	1	0.33	56.8	+10.2
Cristian Pavón Midfielder	80	0	0	0.07	55.2	+1.8
Marlon Defender	90	1	1	0.06	54.2	+4.8
João Pedro Defender	10	0	0	–	50.8	–
Gustavo Martins Defender	90	0	0	0.02	50.3	+0.2
Viery Defender	90	0	0	0.02	46.3	–
José Enamorado Forward	80	0	0	–	44.3	–
Weverton Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	43.4	−3.7
Roger Midfielder	10	0	0	0.01	41.2	–
Francis Amuzu Midfielder	90	0	0	0.07	40.8	−5.0
Dodi Midfielder	21	0	0	–	40.7	–
Carlos Vinícius Forward	90	0	0	0.21	38.2	−19.1
Juan Nardoni Midfielder	86	0	0	–	37.6	–
Gabriel Mec Midfielder	69	0	0	0.13	35.6	–

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Mateo Cassierra Forward	9	0	0	0.04	60.2	–
Mamady Cissé Midfielder	45	0	0	0.02	55.1	–
Alan Minda Forward	10	0	0	0.06	51.3	–
Everson Goalkeeper	90	0	1	–	50.6	+4.6
Dudu Forward	21	0	0	0.02	48.5	–
Alan Franco Midfielder	90	0	0	–	46.2	+1.4
Ruan Defender	90	0	0	–	45.7	−4.4
Reinier Midfielder	22	0	0	–	44.2	–
Vitor Hugo Defender	89	0	0	–	43.4	−11.5
Maycon Midfielder	90	0	0	–	43.0	−4.5
Tomás Cuello Midfielder	69	0	0	–	41.6	−8.8
Victor Hugo Midfielder	80	1	0	0.18	40.6	−4.3
Renan Lodi Defender	90	0	0	–	40.2	+1.0
Hulk Forward	68	0	0	0.10	35.5	−16.0
Gustavo Scarpa Midfielder	45	0	0	–	21.8	−25.0
Natanael Defender	17	0	0	–	18.1	–