Premier League 25/26 · 14 Mar 2026

Chelsea 0–1 Newcastle United

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 24%

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Feb 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Chelsea favourites at 53%.

Newcastle United won a close one on the chances: 1.4 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Anthony Gordon, 71.6 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Aaron Ramsdale +12.5, Anthony Gordon +10.7, Reece James +10.4.

Well below it: João Pedro −22.6.

Each side's last five results before this match.

11 Mar 2026	L 2–5	at Paris Saint-Germain Champions League
4 Mar 2026	W 4–1	at Aston Villa Premier League
1 Mar 2026	L 1–2	at Arsenal Premier League
21 Feb 2026	D 1–1	v Burnley Premier League
10 Feb 2026	D 2–2	v Leeds United Premier League

10 Mar 2026	D 1–1	v FC Barcelona Champions League
4 Mar 2026	W 2–1	v Manchester United Premier League
28 Feb 2026	L 2–3	v Everton Premier League
24 Feb 2026	W 3–2	v Qarabağ FK Champions League
21 Feb 2026	L 1–2	at Manchester City Premier League

20 Dec 2025	Newcastle United 2–2 Chelsea Premier League

Player	Min	xG	Score	vs usual
Reece James Defender	90	0.11	68.4	+10.4
Wesley Fofana Defender	82	0.05	67.7	+9.7
Cole Palmer Midfielder	90	0.34	60.7	+5.9
Trevoh Chalobah Defender	90	0.15	56.1	−1.7
Robert Sánchez Goalkeeper	90	–	54.7	+3.4
Moisés Caicedo Midfielder	61	–	54.5	+1.4
Marc Cucurella Defender	90	–	53.5	−1.4
Malo Gusto Defender	45	–	53.4	+2.7
Liam Delap Forward	45	0.31	51.9	+2.8
Enzo Fernández Midfielder	90	0.09	51.9	−6.3
Roméo Lavia Midfielder	29	–	51.5	–
Alejandro Garnacho Forward	90	0.14	51.0	−3.3
Jorrel Hato Defender	8	–	50.9	–
João Pedro Forward	90	0.23	42.3	−22.6

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Dan Burn Defender	13	0	0	–	80.4	–
Anthony Gordon Forward	90	1	0	1.12	71.6	+10.7
Aaron Ramsdale Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	61.0	+12.5
Sven Botman Defender	90	0	0	–	58.2	+0.3
Joe Willock Midfielder	77	0	1	0.03	57.3	+5.3
Lewis Hall Defender	90	0	0	–	56.5	+1.2
Jacob Ramsey Midfielder	90	0	0	0.08	50.8	+1.0
Malick Thiaw Defender	90	0	0	0.16	50.0	−7.7
Nick Woltemade Forward	67	0	0	–	48.8	+0.9
Joelinton Midfielder	23	0	0	–	47.2	–
Jacob Murphy Midfielder	78	0	0	0.03	45.9	−7.1
Tino Livramento Defender	90	0	0	–	44.9	−6.4
Anthony Elanga Forward	12	0	0	–	44.7	–
Harvey Barnes Forward	90	0	0	–	42.6	−3.3