Premier League 26/27 · 23 Aug 2026

Newcastle United 2–2 Liverpool FC

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 23% · Chances everywhere: 4.2 xG · Standout: Ronald Araújo scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Jul 2026; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG: 1.8 – 1.3
Actual xG: 1.4 – 2.7
Goals: 2 – 2

Footybot made Newcastle United favourites at 49%.

Liverpool FC deserved more from the draw, creating 2.7 xG to 1.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Dominik Szoboszlai, 80.7 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Cody Gakpo +20.4, Jérémy Jacquet +20.2, Miloš Kerkez +17.9.

Well below it: Alisson −13.9, Rio Ngumoha −13.5, Florian Wirtz −8.6.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Newcastle United

24 May 2026	L 0–2	at Fulham Premier League
17 May 2026	W 3–1	v West Ham United Premier League
10 May 2026	D 1–1	at Nottingham Forest Premier League
2 May 2026	W 3–1	v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
25 Apr 2026	L 0–1	at Arsenal Premier League

Liverpool FC

24 May 2026	D 1–1	v Brentford Premier League
15 May 2026	L 2–4	at Aston Villa Premier League
9 May 2026	D 1–1	v Chelsea Premier League
3 May 2026	L 2–3	at Manchester United Premier League
25 Apr 2026	W 3–1	v Crystal Palace Premier League

Head to head

31 Jan 2026	Liverpool FC 4–1 Newcastle United Premier League
25 Aug 2025	Newcastle United 2–3 Liverpool FC Premier League

Newcastle United

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Joe Willock Midfielder	34	1	0	0.09	81.8	–
Malick Thiaw Defender	90	0	0	–	71.2	+15.9
Sven Botman Defender	90	0	0	–	63.0	−0.2
Jacob Ramsey Midfielder	34	0	0	0.09	60.2	–
Lewis Hall Defender	90	0	0	–	59.3	+6.6
Lewis Miley Midfielder	76	0	0	0.05	59.0	+4.3
Lukáš Horníček Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	57.3	+7.8
Anthony Elanga Forward	76	1	0	0.11	56.8	+8.8
Yoane Wissa Forward	89	0	1	0.94	54.2	+3.0
William Osula Forward	56	0	1	0.06	49.6	−4.3
Amar Dedić Defender	90	0	0	0.03	44.2	−6.4
Harvey Barnes Forward	90	0	0	0.06	43.8	−2.4
Aladji Bamba Midfielder	14	0	0	–	42.3	–
Sean Steur Midfielder	56	0	0	–	36.5	−8.6
Jacob Murphy Midfielder	14	0	0	–	33.1	–
Fabian Schär Defender	1	0	0	–	30.2	–

Liverpool FC

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Ronald Araújo Defender	20	0	0	–	100.0	–
Dominik Szoboszlai Midfielder	90	1	0	0.85	80.7	+14.3
Cody Gakpo Midfielder	90	1	0	0.24	69.7	+20.4
Jérémy Jacquet Defender	70	0	0	–	69.1	+20.2
Virgil van Dijk Defender	90	0	0	0.21	67.6	+12.4
Miloš Kerkez Defender	90	0	0	0.02	64.3	+17.9
Alexander Isak Forward	90	0	0	1.03	56.8	+10.0
Ryan Gravenberch Midfielder	78	0	1	0.06	55.9	+8.0
Lewis Koumas Forward	12	0	0	0.02	54.8	–
Víctor Muñoz Midfielder	27	0	0	0.08	54.7	–
Florian Wirtz Midfielder	63	0	0	0.17	52.9	−8.6
Alexis Mac Allister Midfielder	27	0	0	–	48.2	–
Jeremie Frimpong Defender	90	0	0	0.01	47.8	+3.3
Rio Ngumoha Forward	63	0	0	0.04	43.5	−13.5
Alisson Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	36.2	−13.9