Matchday

Premier League 25/26 · 30 Nov 2025

Crystal Palace 1–2 Manchester United

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 19% · Standout: Kobbie Mainoo scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Oct 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.1 – 1.1
Actual xG
1.8 – 1.4
Goals
1 – 2

Footybot made Crystal Palace favourites at 61%.

Manchester United won a close one on the chances: 1.4 xG to 1.8.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Bruno Fernandes, 81.2 in 90′.

Well above their usual level: Bruno Fernandes +16.2, Luke Shaw +15.8, Casemiro +11.9.

Well below it: Eddie Nketiah −15.9, Adam Wharton −13.0, Daniel Muñoz −13.0.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Crystal Palace

27 Nov 2025L 1–2at RC Strasbourg Conference League
22 Nov 2025W 2–0at Wolverhampton Premier League
9 Nov 2025D 0–0v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
6 Nov 2025W 3–1v AZ Alkmaar Conference League
1 Nov 2025W 2–0v Brentford Premier League

Manchester United

24 Nov 2025L 0–1v Everton Premier League
8 Nov 2025D 2–2at Tottenham Hotspur Premier League
1 Nov 2025D 2–2at Nottingham Forest Premier League
25 Oct 2025W 4–2v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
19 Oct 2025W 2–1at Liverpool FC Premier League

Head to head

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jean-Philippe Mateta Forward90101.0261.3+5.1
Yéremy Pino Forward78000.1856.6+3.4
Chris Richards Defender90000.0454.7−1.4
Dean Henderson Goalkeeper9000–53.8+4.0
Maxence Lacroix Defender90000.0852.4−3.4
Jefferson Lerma Midfielder1100–51.3–
Marc Guéhi Defender9000–51.2−1.7
Eddie Nketiah Forward52000.2051.2−15.9
Adam Wharton Midfielder78000.1350.3−13.0
Will Hughes Midfielder1200–42.9–
Ismaïla Sarr Forward3800–42.3–
Daichi Kamada Midfielder85000.1342.0−6.6
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder9000–40.5−13.0
Tyrick Mitchell Midfielder8500–38.8−8.1
Christantus Uche Forward1200–30.7–
Justin Devenny Midfielder11000.0624.4–

Manchester United

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Kobbie Mainoo Midfielder100–100.0–
Bruno Fernandes Midfielder90020.0181.2+16.2
Noussair Mazraoui Defender3600–77.2–
Patrick Dorgu Midfielder100–76.4–
Casemiro Midfielder90000.6566.3+11.9
Luke Shaw Defender8200–63.9+15.8
Mason Mount Midfielder90100.0963.4+11.3
Matthijs de Ligt Defender90000.0659.3−1.0
Diogo Dalot Defender90000.0758.3+5.0
Joshua Zirkzee Forward90100.0357.1–
Lisandro Martínez Defender800–56.0–
Amad Diallo Midfielder89000.0350.3−8.1
Leny Yoro Defender5400–50.0−3.3
Bryan Mbeumo Forward89000.4149.1−11.3
Senne Lammens Goalkeeper9000–49.0+0.7