FOOTYBOT
Matchday

EFL Cup 25/26, Round 4 · 29 Oct 2025

Liverpool FC 0–3 Crystal Palace

Picked for matchday: Two strong sides · Against the odds: the prediction gave this result 20% · Standout: Jefferson Lerma scored 100.0

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Sep 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Expected xG
2.0 – 1.1
Actual xG
0.4 – 1.8
Goals
0 – 3

Footybot made Liverpool FC favourites at 59%.

Crystal Palace won and made the better chances: 1.8 xG to 0.4.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Ismaïla Sarr, 90.2 in 62′.

Well above their usual level: Ismaïla Sarr +42.5, Yéremy Pino +30.6, Marc Guéhi +22.1.

Well below it: Eddie Nketiah −23.3, Andy Robertson −13.8.

Going in

Each side's last five results before this match.

Liverpool FC

25 Oct 2025L 2–3at Brentford Premier League
22 Oct 2025W 5–1at Eintracht Frankfurt Champions League
19 Oct 2025L 1–2v Manchester United Premier League
4 Oct 2025L 1–2at Chelsea Premier League
30 Sep 2025L 0–1at Galatasaray Champions League

Crystal Palace

26 Oct 2025L 0–1at Arsenal Premier League
23 Oct 2025L 0–1v AEK Larnaca Conference League
18 Oct 2025D 3–3v Bournemouth Premier League
5 Oct 2025L 1–2at Everton Premier League
2 Oct 2025W 2–0at Dynamo Kyiv Conference League

Head to head

27 Sep 2025Crystal Palace 2–1 Liverpool FC Premier League

Liverpool FC

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Joe Gomez Defender9000–62.1–
Miloš Kerkez Defender9000–54.8+7.6
Trent Kone Doherty Forward400–52.1–
Wataru Endo Midfielder9000–49.7+0.4
Andy Robertson Defender6700–47.4−13.8
Rio Ngumoha Forward86000.0746.8–
Freddie Woodman Goalkeeper9000–45.8–
Wellity Lucky Defender2300–45.7–
Trey Nyoni Midfielder9000–42.8–
Alexis Mac Allister Midfielder6700–42.8−2.9
Federico Chiesa Forward90000.1242.2–
Kieran Morrison Midfielder67000.2142.0–
Calvin Ramsay Defender90000.0241.6–
Amara Nallo Defender1200–0.0–

Crystal Palace

PlayerMinGAxGScorevs usual
Jefferson Lerma Midfielder1601–100.0–
Ismaïla Sarr Forward62200.9890.2+42.5
Yéremy Pino Forward90110.2277.3+30.6
Marc Guéhi Defender90000.0775.8+22.1
Daichi Kamada Midfielder9000–61.8+15.6
Jaydee Canvot Defender9000–53.9+6.6
Maxence Lacroix Defender9000–53.7−1.9
Christantus Uche Forward10000.0552.1–
Walter Benítez Goalkeeper9000–49.7–
Daniel Muñoz Midfielder7400–49.6−1.6
Rio Cardines Forward1600–48.1–
Justin Devenny Midfielder28000.0646.3–
Jean-Philippe Mateta Forward45000.1745.1−7.6
Will Hughes Midfielder74000.1142.5−2.2
Eddie Nketiah Forward45000.0841.7−23.3
Borna Sosa Defender83000.0337.6+2.0