FA Cup 25/26, Round 3 · 10 Jan 2026

Manchester City 10–1 Exeter City

Expected and what happened

Before the match, from team ratings for Dec 2025; the outlined result is what happened.

Footybot made Manchester City favourites at 73%.

Manchester City won and made the better chances: 2.4 xG to 1.6.

Best on the pitch by Footybot's score: Nico O'Reilly, 96.8 in 45′.

Well above their usual level: Nico O'Reilly +42.3, Antoine Semenyo +31.1, Max Alleyne +30.4.

Well below it: Rayan Cherki −19.3, Erling Haaland −16.7.

Each side's last five results before this match.

7 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Brighton & Hove Albion Premier League
4 Jan 2026	D 1–1	v Chelsea Premier League
1 Jan 2026	D 0–0	at Sunderland Premier League
27 Dec 2025	W 2–1	at Nottingham Forest Premier League
20 Dec 2025	W 3–0	v West Ham United Premier League

No earlier meeting in Footybot's data.

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
Nico O'Reilly Defender	45	1	0	0.05	96.8	+42.3
Antoine Semenyo Midfielder	64	1	1	0.20	82.2	+31.1
Rodri Midfielder	45	1	0	0.03	76.3	+15.5
Max Alleyne Defender	64	1	0	0.23	72.1	+30.4
Rico Lewis Defender	90	2	1	1.11	65.1	+18.1
Abdukodir Khusanov Defender	90	0	0	–	58.1	+9.1
Bernardo Silva Midfielder	26	0	0	–	56.0	–
Ryan McAidoo Midfielder	90	1	0	0.34	55.5	–
Tijjani Reijnders Midfielder	90	1	0	0.16	53.4	−2.0
Nathan Aké Defender	45	0	0	–	52.1	−1.8
Divine Mukasa Midfielder	45	0	1	0.13	51.4	+14.1
Rayan Cherki Midfielder	90	0	2	–	47.8	−19.3
Stephen Mfuni Defender	45	0	0	0.04	46.9	–
Jérémy Doku Midfielder	26	0	1	–	45.1	–
James Trafford Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	44.1	−2.4
Erling Haaland Forward	45	0	0	0.14	39.3	−16.7

Player	Min	G	A	xG	Score	vs usual
George Birch Midfielder	8	1	0	–	100.0	–
Ethan Brierley Midfielder	82	0	0	–	85.4	–
Akeel Higgins Forward	31	0	0	–	57.0	–
Luca Woodhouse Defender	90	0	0	–	56.6	–
Jake Doyle-Hayes Midfielder	90	0	1	0.58	55.7	–
Jack Fitzwater Defender	90	0	0	0.63	55.4	–
Jack Aitchison Forward	59	0	0	0.07	50.1	–
Josh Magennis Forward	45	0	0	–	48.2	–
Ilmari Niskanen Midfielder	90	0	0	0.09	47.3	–
Ed Turns Defender	90	0	0	–	44.3	–
Jayden Wareham Forward	45	0	0	0.04	41.7	–
Liam Oakes Midfielder	82	0	0	0.17	40.9	–
Reece Cole Midfielder	59	0	0	–	40.1	–
Edward Francis Midfielder	8	0	0	–	34.1	–
Joe Whitworth Goalkeeper	90	0	0	–	4.2	–